Eagles at Chiefs: MNF Best Bets For Week 11

Eagles at Chiefs: Week 11 Betting Preview

The Chiefs are -2.5 favorites over the Eagles in a rematch of last season's Super Bowl, and the line has been moving since it opened. The game will be broadcast on ESPN at 8:15 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

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Eagles vs. Chiefs: Live Week 11 Odds

Philadelphia Eagles Week 11 Outlook

The Eagles are coming off of their bye week, which means they will have had extra time to prepare for the very difficult environment they will be playing in at Arrowhead. The defending NFC champions have done well so far to defend their crown, as they are once again leading the conference right now as the current No. 1 seed with an 8-1 record.

The Philadelphia offense has been great once again, led by QB Jalen Hurts, who has shown that last season wasn't a fluke. They are ranked No. 1 in the NFL in third-down conversion percentage, converting 50% of their attempts, which is truly incredible against professional defenses this far into the season. As a result, they are also ranked No. 1 in the league in first downs gained per game (23.3). When you have an offense that is that good at moving the chains, it's easy to see how they are sitting at 8-1 on the year.

Defensively, it hasn't been as great for the Eagles. While they have been dominant against the run, ranking as the No. 1 rush defense in the NFL, they have also struggled immensely against the pass. Their secondary has been getting exposed, allowing 257 yards through the air on average per game. That will be a storyline to note going up against Patrick Mahomes.

Kansas City Chiefs Week 11 Outlook

As long as Patrick Mahomes is standing behind the center of this Chiefs team, it is likely that they are going to be a contender every single season. Once again, they find themselves with a 7-2 record through nine contests, and will also be coming off a bye week for this game. Head coach Andy Reid is famous for how well his teams perform off a bye, so you can expect a great game plan out of Kansas City for this one.

As mentioned, any offense that is led by Mahomes is going to be pretty good, and that has been the case yet again for the Chiefs. There has been so much talk about how they haven't been as good as in previous years, but let's be real, those were some of the greatest offenses of all time. You can't be that good every year, and they have still been very good. A big part of that is how well the offensive line has performed, ranking second in sacks allowed per game. Mahomes is only going down 1.3 times per contest, so they are giving him plenty of time to operate.

In years past, the defense has been the problem for this team when it comes to being successful. No longer is that the case. They have played very well, and actually rank second in the NFL in sacks per game, getting to the opposing QB a whopping 3.4 times per game on average. Getting pressure on Hurts will be very important to stopping this really good Philly offense.

Scroll down to see how the BetQL editorial staff is going to approach this game!

NFL Expert Picks For Eagles at Chiefs

Dan Karpuc: Eagles ML (+124, FanDuel)

Philly will definitely have revenge on their minds following their Super Bowl loss to the Chiefs and I think they’ve clearly been the better team this season. With stellar line play on both sides of the football, I expect them to win the battle up front. Under Nick Sirianni, the Eagles have gone 12-1 SU after allowing 99 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games. Jalen Hurts has more offensive weapons than Patrick Mahomes and both of these defenses can make plays, but ultimately I’ll take the value and back the underdogs at +124.

Kate Constable: Eagles +3 (-118, DraftKings) 

The Chiefs have been unbelievable at home over the last three seasons with a 21-5 record, but we can still get the Eagles as a 3-point dog at DraftKings and that’s certainly worth taking. A primetime rematch of last year’s Super Bowl has all the makings of a close game. Philly’s offensive line is one of the best in the league and should give Jalen Hurts enough time to move the ball downfield consistently, even against a very good Chiefs defense. Kansas City’s offense isn’t as potent as it has been in previous seasons. Outside of Travis Kelce, Mahomes doesn’t have the same caliber receiving corps as he did last year and its run game ranks just 19th, averaging 4.1 yards per carry. Grab the points with the road dog! 

Matt Horner: Eagles +3 (-118, DraftKings)

This game should be extremely close, and I could see it coming down to a last-second score. Similar to last night’s contest between the Vikings and Broncos, I also think Kansas City could end up winning by less than a field goal. When this line has reached +3, it gets bet back down to 2.5 almost instantly, which tells me where the pushback point is. If you can’t get a +3, I’d bet the Chiefs on the ML. (I’ll probably throw some money down on the Chiefs ML as well.)

Lucy Burdge: Chiefs -2.5 (-115, BetMGM)

The Chiefs are 6-3 ATS overall, including 4-1 ATS at home. Kansas City has covered four of their last five spreads and a BetQL trend favoring them here is that Andy Reid is 39-10 ATS after having won three out of their last four games while coaching Kansas City. The Chiefs defeated the Eagles in the Super Bowl this past year and I see them doing it again here and covering -2.5.

NFL Player Prop Picks For Eagles at Chiefs

Dan Karpuc: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes o2.5 passing TDs (+140, FanDuel)

The Eagles have surprisingly allowed the most touchdown passes per game to opposing quarterbacks (2.1) this season and this can be a major statement game for Mahomes and the Chiefs in what will be a Super Bowl rematch. Mahomes has surprisingly only gone over this number twice this season, but the way to beat this Eagles defense is clearly through the air and there’s nobody I’d rather trust more to craft up a winning game plan than Mahomes and Andy Reid coming off a bye.

Kate Constable: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (+123, BetRivers)

Hurts has found the end zone seven different times this season, including at least once in four of his last five games. I don’t know the exact numbers on how many of those were via the Brotherly Shove, but you know that if Philly finds itself near the goal line, Hurts’ teammates are going to make sure he gets across that line. BetRivers still has a decent price on this prop while most other books have this sitting around even.  

Lucy Burdge: Chiefs TE Travis Kelce Anytime TD (-115, BetMGM)

Yes, Taylor Swift’s parents will reportedly be at this game, but that’s not the only reason I’m taking Kelce to score (even though he seems to perform better when a member of the Swift family is in the crowd). Kelce is actually in a TD drought with just two in his last five games, and I see him picking it up again here with one against his brother, Jason, and the Eagles.

Brad Pinkerton: Travis Kelce & D'Andre Swift Each To Score a TD (+410, boosted to +500 at BetRivers)

Clever little Swift+Kelce boost here from BetRivers. Kelce is due for a TD with his last coming on Oct. 22 and the Eagles have allowed five TDs to TEs, tied for third-most. Meanwhile, Swift has a TD in every other game this season and failed to score last time out, so I love this boost at +500 and would even play it unboosted at +410.