After Shocking Upset Win, Titans Look To Carry Momentum Into Baltimore
The Ravens opened as double-digit favorites despite Tennessee's road win over the Patriots
Titans at Ravens
Saturday 1/11, 8:15pm EST
- The Baltimore Ravens will host the Tennessee Titans in the Divisional Round of the AFC Playoffs on Saturday 1/11/20 at 8:15pm EST.
- The line opened at +/- 10 with the Ravens as the clear favorites and the over/under opened at 49 points. Track line movement leading up to kickoff here!
- The Titans enter this game with the following records: 10-7 overall, 9-7-1 ATS, 6-3 overall (6-3 ATS) on the road, 4-3 overall (4-3 ATS) as an underdog
- The Ravens enter this game with the following records: 14-2 overall, 10-5-1 ATS, 7-1 overall (4-4 ATS) at home, 11-1 overall (7-4-1 ATS) as a favorite
- The OVER has gone 10-7 in Tennessee’s games and 9-7 in Baltimore’s contests.
It’s never easy to accurately predict an NFL game script. If this game stays within striking distance, it’s clear what we should expect. The Titans would lean heavily on Derrick Henry, who rushed the ball 34 times for 182 yards and a touchdown in Tennessee’s 20-13 wild card win over the Patriots. In that contest, the Titans rushed the ball 40 times for 201 yards and threw it 16 times for 76 yards. That’s their bread and butter, and while the rainy weather conditions somewhat affected their game plan, they will most likely utilize Henry and their running game as much as possible. If the Ravens get out to a large early lead, expect quarterback Ryan Tannehill to be asked to put the ball in the air, where rookie wideout A.J. Brown will most likely be required to have a gigantic performance against a talented secondary. As seen last week, Tennessee is much more comfortable handing the ball off to Henry and letting the offensive line pave their way to success. The Patriots defense, who routinely is able to shut down the best players on opposing offenses, wasn’t able to limit Henry, so it’s probably best to assume that he will be able to perform well once again in this matchup.
The Ravens led the NFL with a 56-percent rushing percentage this season and were the NFL’s most effective rushing team (by a wide margin). For context, no other team ran the ball more than half the time, and Lamar Jackson’s superhuman abilities played an obvious role. The Ravens ranked third in the NFL in scoring defense, allowing 17.6 points per contest in the regular season. The Titans came in 12th, allowing 20.2. But, as shown last week, Tennessee’s defense is a major threat and didn’t seem fazed on the road. Therefore, expect this to be the Jackson show. Since he has the proven ability to take over the game through the air or on the ground, all eyes will be on the MVP frontrunner in this one. It’ll be fascinating to see how Mike Vrabel’s team opts to defend him, but if Tennessee’s defensive line is able to control the line of scrimmage and set the edge, there’s a chance that the Titans will be able to limit Jackson (at least on the ground, where he’s most devastating). However, Baltimore’s offense has been historically-great and matchup-proof all season long and is the Super Bowl frontrunner for a reason.
The Ravens are fully expected to win this game outright, but will they cover the large spread as a home favorite? That’s a tough call. More than ever, it’s a great time to utilize the tools we have here at BetQL to help you make the most informed, data-driven bets possible.