BetQL Users Deviated From Public Bettors On MNF - AND WON!
We might as well call this the "Dalvin Cook Effect"
UPDATE: The Packers won this game 23-10!
Packers (11-3) at Vikings (10-4)
MIN -4.5, O/U 47, 12/23/19, 8:15pm EST
What You Need To Know
- In their last 37 games as home favorites, the Vikings are 31-6 straight-up.
- As of a few hours before kickoff, 68% of public bets have gone on the Vikings moneyline (-220). If that holds, it'll be the largest public bet on the entire Week 16 slate.
- However, just 45% of the BetQL Community is on the Vikings moneyline.
Why This May Be
Since Vikings star running back Dalvin Cook (shoulder) will miss tonight's contest, there are some major question marks within Minnesota's offense. First, will backup Alexander Mattison (ankle) end up playing? If he does, ESPN's Adam Schefter reported that the rookie will not see significant playing time since the team already locked up a playoff spot. Cook emerged as one of the NFL's top skill players in 2019, amassing 1,135 rushing yards on 4.5 yards per carry with 13 touchdowns. He also added 519 receiving yards on 53 catches, which is an element that might be missing tonight, as Mike Boone is expected to be the workhorse with a little Ameer Abdullah sprinkled into the mix.
If you recall, the Packers ended up taking down the Vikings with a healthy Cook, who rushed 20 times for 154 yards and a touchdown against them back on September 15th. Aaron Jones (23 carries for 116 yards and a touchdown) and Davante Adams (seven receptions for 106 yards) shined as Aaron Rodgers had a decent outing (22-for-34, 209 yards two touchdowns).
With a lot of faith placed in third and fourth string running backs, it seems like Minnesota will place more faith in Kirk Cousins, who has historically been terrible in primetime games. He went 14-for-32 for 230 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions the first time these two teams played. With a playoff spot already clinched (as either the fifth or sixth seed), Minnesota's urgency might not be on the same level as Green Bay's, who will have a first-round bye if they win their last two games, starting with this one. If they win this game and the Seahawks beat the 49ers next week, the Packers will be the NFC's No. 1 seed.
Who do you trust more: the public or BetQL's Community?