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Colts See Highest Over/Under Line Ahead Of Contest With The Packers

Indianapolis has yet to see an over/under line above 49 this season

All-Pro Reels, Flickr

Quick-Hitters

  • Oddsmakers have consistently hit the Indianapolis Colts with low over/under lines all season. However, the 51.5 over/under line is the highest total of the season for them.

  • Aaron Rodgers (+325) is currently the third-favorite to win the MVP Award, per BetMGM. With 741 receiving yards on the season (ninth-most), Davante Adams (+650) is currently the fourth-favorite to lead the league in receiving at the end of the season, per DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • The Colts have gone 6-3 ATS this season are favored to win the AFC South (-165), per FanDuel Sportsbook.

Get all of BetQL's best bets for the upcoming NFL season! Dating back a full calendar year, our five-star (max-value) bets have won 61% of the time!

Indianapolis' Resilience

The Indianapolis Colts bolstered their already strong defense over the offseason, signed veteran Philip Rivers to lead the offense, and drafted Jonathan Taylor to be the bell cow of the backfield. Two of those three things have worked in Indy’s favor so far.

The best part of this team, by far, is their defense. The unit has stifled the upper echelon offenses and completely stymied inferior opponents. It blends a very talented pass-rush with a superb linebacking corps and a smothering secondary, often resembling the dominance of the 2019 New England Patriots' defensive front.

The Colts lead the NFL in total yards allowed per game (290.4), lead the league in interceptions with 11, and allow the second-fewest passing yards and third-fewest rushing yards. Despite this, they've managed to go 5-4 in regards to the over/under this season since oddsmakers continuously peg their games as low-scorers. In fact, the 51.5 over/under line against the Green Bay Packers is the highest total of the season for Indianapolis.

Offensively, 2020 has been somewhat of a roller coaster for Indy. Frank Reich originally seemed to be going with a conservative, ground-and-pound approach with Philip Rivers operating as more of a game manager. Then, starting back Marlon Mack went down with a season-ending Achilles injury. Most recently, Taylor has struggled with vision and ball control issues.

Cue the ever-resilient Rivers. The quarterback came up big last week in a huge divisional victory over the Tennessee Titans, completing 29-of-39 passes for 308 yards and a score. He threw three touchdown passes in each of Indy’s previous two wins, as well, and has a combined QB rating of 111.46 in those three victories. His best skill this year has been taking care of the football, not trying to do too much, and avoiding big sacks.

Rivers' success has helped Indy cover in 6-of-9 games this season. The Colts (-165) are favored to win the AFC South, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

If you want to roster any Packers or Colts players in your DFS lineups tonight, be sure to get a 3-day free trial on RotoQL to check out our projections!

Green Bay Futures, Outlook

Green Bay's record this season might be one of the more deceiving ones in the NFL. Aaron Rodgers has been dynamic, throwing for 26 touchdowns, just three interceptions, over 2,500 yards, and a league-leading 116.4 quarterback rating. Rodgers (+325) is currently the third-favorite to win the MVP Award, per BetMGM.

Davante Adams continues to prove his worth as a top-three receiver in the pros with an NFL-leading nine touchdown catches and 105.9 yards per game (also league-leading). With 741 receiving yards on the season (ninth-most), Adams (+650) is currently the fourth-favorite to lead the league in receiving at the end of the season, per DraftKings Sportsbook.

Unfortunately, the New Orleans Saints iare the only team with a winning record that the Packers have defeated. The rest of their wins have come against teams that all currently have four or fewer wins, rank in the bottom-10 in points allowed, and have a combined record of 18-37.

Against the prolific defense of the Colts, Rodgers will likely be handing off and dumping down to stud running back Aaron Jones, who returned from a calf injury two weeks ago. Jones led the NFL in rushing touchdowns (16) and scrimmage touchdowns (19) last season, so his return to near full strength is pivotal.

Green Bay’s defense has been less than stellar. Unlike the Colts, the Packers have been awful at producing turnovers, with only seven takeaways on the season (30th in the NFL). If they can’t start making plays and forcing mistakes, this defense could turn Green Bay from a contender to a pretender yet again, squandering another awesome offensive season from Rodgers.

The Packers (+400) are the second-favorite to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline Intrigue

The Colts have played far too well defensively to avoid the moneyline (-125). The one contender with a dynamic defense that the Packers have faced all season was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and they shut down Rodgers and company 38-10. This road contest should be much closer. Can the Colts take down a Packers team that has won three of their last four?

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