Well, what do you know, the Cleveland Browns now have two wins after three weeks of football. They beat the Pittsburgh Steelers at home in Week 3, 29-17, to get back up after a Week 2 loss to the New York Jets. This may not be the best football team, but they seem to be doing fine even without Deshaun Watson through three weeks of the season. Former Dallas Cowboys wideout Amari Cooper has been fantastic for them so far, and he dominated the Steelers to the tune of 101 receiving yards and a touchdown on seven catches.
TE David Njoku had his breakout game this season in that match, with 9 receptions for 89 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland is getting more comfortable on offense under temporary QB Jacoby Brissett, and things could get better for them going forward when Watson gets back from his suspension.
The Browns are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 4, so for some reason, this team really does a good job in this slot at covering the number.
The Falcons have finally broken into the win column after outlasting the Seattle Seahawks on the road last Sunday to the tune of a 27-23 score. It was off the back of their explosive rushing attack, which was fantastic against a terrible Seahawks defense. Cordarrelle Patterson rushed for 141 yards and a touchdown on just 17 carries, while Marcus Mariota also had a rushing score. Mariota passed for 229 yards and a touchdown with an interception on 13-of-20 passing.
This team has a ton of young talent that is just going to get better as they get more experience. Kyle Pitts and Drake London led the downfield attack for the Falcons with 87 and 54 receiving yards, respectively, with London also coming away with TD. This is a dangerous offense that shouldn't be overlooked.
Atlanta is playing with some momentum right now, and they know they are a better team than anyone gave them credit for to start the season. The Falcons are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five contests.
That all being said, the Browns are the more talented team that should be able to get the win here. They are getting better each week, and Brissett has actually looked pretty good for Cleveland in the meantime waiting for Watson. Atlanta's defense is perhaps the worst they have faced so far, and Nick Chubb should be able to absolutely smash them on the ground.
I'll take the Browns at a small spread of -2.5.