The Denver Broncos made a monumental blockbuster trade this off-season with the acquisition of former Seattle Seahawks superstar QB Russell Wilson, who comes in with some of the highest expectations we have seen in a while. Their win total is currently sitting at 10.5 games, which is one of the highest numbers in the league.
Denver hasn't made the playoffs since they won the Super Bowl in Peyton Manning's final season six years ago, so the franchise is hungry to get back into the postseason, and they hope this move can deliver them those results. With guys like Trevor Siemian, Case Keenum, Joe Flacco, Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater leading the charge since the Hall of Fame QB retired, it is no wonder Denver decided to throw the house for Wilson.
I still think Wilson possesses the traits necessary to win a Super Bowl, despite how bad he was in his last season with Seattle. Pete Carroll held that man back with poor coaching decisions (one that cost him a second Super Bowl) and his love for running the ball, which ironically he didn't do when he needed to the most. The Broncos also made numerous signings this off-season, namely Cowboys edge rusher Randy Gregory. They potentially could be without WR Jerry Jeudy due to impending charges against him, but that isn't definite.
Taking the over 10.5 here is very risky, especially considering the division and conference that they have to contend with. Not to mention their schedule, which has them set to play FIVE prime-time matchups this coming season. That type of inconsistency in schedule can have an effect on any team in regard to travel and time. What really stands out is the gauntlet they will have to go through to end the season.
The final six games for Denver include taking on the Ravens, Chiefs, and Rams on the road while battling with the Cardinals, Chiefs, and Chargers at home. Can you imagine an end-of-season schedule that could be any more difficult? Even if they went 3-3 in those games, that means they have to go at least 8-3 in their first 11 matchups to reach their win total.
It is certainly possible, but it isn't a bet I want to make. The under is juiced to -170 at some sites, so I will be staying away.