Bengals vs. Jaguars: MNF Best Bets For Week 13

Bengals at Jaguars: MNF Week 13 Betting Preview

The Bengals and Jaguars meet in Jacksonville for an AFC matchup on Monday Night Football. Cincinnati is coming off a loss to the Steelers in Week 12, while Jacksonville earned a huge divisional win over the Texans.

The line in this game opened at -6.5 in favor of the home team but money pouring in on the Jags has moved this line to -8.5 at most places, but there is still one -7.5 out there. The game will be broadcast on ESPN at 8:15 p.m. ET from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL.

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Bengals at Jaguars: Live Odds

Cincinnati Bengals Week 13 Outlook

With quarterback Joe Burrow sidelined for the remainder of the season, it seems as though the Bengals season is about to fully unravel. They've lost their last three games, including a 16-10 loss to the Steelers last weekend in Jake Browning's first start as QB1. 

Browning wasn't terrible, throwing for 227 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, but he was also sacked four times. The ground game, however, was awful. Joe Mixon led the team with eight carries for just 16 yards. Browning was the only other Bengals player to carry the ball, finishing with just nine yards. That's just 25 total yards of offense on the ground. 

Cincinnati also struggled on third down, finishing just 2-10. It also only found the red zone twice, converting just one possession into a touchdown. Without Burrow under center, we’re likely to see more of these types of numbers. 

Defensively, the Bengals allowed the Steelers to amass 421 total yards, making it the first time all season that Pittsburgh outgained their opponent. Kenny Pickett threw for a season-high 278 yards, completing 72.7% of his passes, which is also a season-high. The Steelers only finished with 16 points, but that was more a product of its own poor red-zone play than anything the Bengals' defense did.

Unfortunately for Cincinnati, things aren't going to get any easier on either side of the ball this weekend.

Jacksonville Jaguars Week 13 Outlook

The Jags are coming off a huge road win over the Texans last weekend, moving them to 8-3 on the season and keeping them in sole possession of the top spot in the AFC South. 

Calvin Ridley is coming off back-to-back monster games with 103 receiving yards against the Titans and 89 receiving yards against the Texans. Christian Kirk also posted 89 yards last weekend and 104 in Week 10 against the 49ers. Jacksonville should be able to take advantage of Cincinnati’s secondary that's allowing the most yards per reception (15.6) to opposing wide receivers. It’s also allowing 4.6 yards on the ground to opposing backs, which means Travis Etienne should be able to feast. 

The Jags defense as a whole isn’t among the upper echelon in the NFL, ranking 20th in yards allowed (342.4) and 28th in passing yards allowed (255.0). However, their run defense ranks 4th, giving up just 87.4 yards. With Browning under center for the Bengals, I’d anticipate Cincinnati leaning on Joe Mixon and the run game, but that is going to play right into Jacksonville's defense strengths.

NFL Expert Picks For Bengals at Jaguars

Kate Constable: Jaguars -10 (-110, BetMGM)

I would back Jacksonville at anything up to -9.5. Between Browning managing the passing game and Mixon going up against a dominant run defense, I don't see a path to success for Cincinnati's offense. Meanwhile, Trevor Lawrence has been connecting with his receiving corps at will and that's not going to change against this bad Bengals secondary.

Jacksonville also makes for a great teaser leg this week!

Dan Karpuc: Jaguars -10 (-110, BetMGM)

Under Doug Pederson, Jacksonville has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS after covering the spread in three of the last four games. The Jaguars (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS) have covered in seven of their last eight games and have gone 6-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Meanwhile, the Bengals (5-6 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) will have Jake Browning under center again, so I expect the Jags to win big and cover in front of their home crowd in primetime.

Lucy Burdge: Jaguars -10 (-110, BetMGM)

The Jaguars (8-3 ATS) have covered their last two spreads, while the Bengals (4-6 ATS) have failed to cover their last three spreads. A BetQL trend that favors the Jaguars to cover in this spot is that Doug Pederson is 7-0 ATS after covering the spread in three out of the last four games while coaching Jacksonville. I think Jacksonville can cover this double-digit spread against the Bengals.

NFL Player Prop Picks For Bengals at Jaguars

Kate Constable: Jags QB Trevor Lawrence o242.5 pass yds (-125, DraftKings) 

Lawrence shouldn’t have an issue putting up a massive number against a Bengals defense that gives up 264 passing yards per game, seventh-most, and ranks dead-last in yards per play. Last weekend against the Steelers, Cincinnati allowed Kenny Picket to throw for 278 yards, which tells us just how bad this unit is. I’d be shocked if Lawrence doesn’t get over this number tonight!

Dan Karpuc: Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase o56.5 rec yds (-110, DraftKings)

In his first full game with Jake Browning under center, Chase caught four of six targets for 81 yards against the Steelers. Regardless of who is throwing him the ball, there’s no way his receiving prop should be this low. Considering the fact that the Bengals are double-digit-point underdogs, Cincinnati should throw the football quite a bit in this contest and the game script should favor Chase and Cincinnati’s passing game.

Lucy Burdge: Jags WR Calvin Ridley Anytime TD (+150, BetMGM)

Ridley has five touchdowns this season, including three in the last two weeks with two against the Titans and one against the Texans last week. With those touchdown numbers he’s put up in the last two games, I see him continuing that streak here and scoring a another one against the Bengals.