BetQL Simulation Projects This WR To Lead NFL In Receiving Yards

The 2024 NFL season is gearing up to showcase some incredible aerial displays, and the race for the most receiving yards is wide open. In this article, we'll delve into the key statistics and betting data to highlight the top contenders. We'll examine the highest ticket percentage, highest handle percentage, biggest liability, and the current odds leader, using data from our friends at BetMGM. Additionally, we'll reveal simulation data after running every game 10,000 times through BetQL's advanced NFL model. Whether you’re a bettor, a fantasy football aficionado, or simply a passionate NFL fan, this analysis will provide valuable insights into the wide receivers set to dominate the field in 2024.

Betting Data & Simulation Results: Most Receiving Yards

As we gear up for the 2024 NFL season, the race for the most receiving yards promises to be highly competitive. Here’s a summary of the key data points:

• Highest Ticket%: Ja'Marr Chase of the Cincinnati Bengals leads with 11.8% of tickets. His odds opened and remain at +800, with BetQL's simulation projecting him to achieve 1,234 yards, placing him 8th. Chase has been one of the top wideouts for years now, and his futures have always been boosted due to having a QB like Joe Burrow as his signal-caller. If Burrow gets injured, however, these bettors could end up in a bad spot.
• Highest Handle%: Drake London of the Atlanta Falcons commands the highest handle percentage at 28.3%. His odds opened at +2200 and have moved to +1800, with a simulation projection of 1,002 yards, placing him 24th. London was a highly-touted prospect out of USC but has failed to really produce at the NFL level. However, he never has had a competent QB throwing to him, and he will get that this season with Kirk Cousins behind center.
• Biggest Liability: Drake London is also the biggest liability, with odds shifting from +2200 to +1800 and a projected 1,002 yards. When the highest handle is on a player with 22/1 odds, it makes sense that the biggest liability would be London. That is never a good thing for those bettors, as it is rare that the biggest liability for the sportsbooks actually comes through for the player.
• Odds Leader: Tyreek Hill of the Miami Dolphins is the odds leader, with consistent +500 odds and a simulation projection of 1,589 yards, placing him 2nd behind CeeDee Lamb’s projected 1,598 yards. Hill led the NFL in yards last season and is widely regarded as the fastest player in the league. He's a burner with a quick step and can rack up yards in a hurry. A healthy Tua Tagovailoa will be key for him in 2024.

This analysis highlights the key players in the race for the most receiving yards in 2024, with Tyreek Hill leading in odds and Ja'Marr Chase and Drake London attracting significant betting interest.

Best Bet: CeeDee Lamb (+600)

Previous Winners

Here's a list of NFL players with the most receiving yards in each of the last 10 years:

• 2023: Tyreek Hill (Miami Dolphins) - 1,799 yards
• 2022: Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) - 1,809 yards
• 2021: Cooper Kupp (Los Angeles Rams) - 1,947 yards
• 2020: Stefon Diggs (Buffalo Bills) - 1,535 yards
• 2019: Michael Thomas (New Orleans Saints) - 1,725 yards
• 2018: Julio Jones (Atlanta Falcons) - 1,677 yards
• 2017: Antonio Brown (Pittsburgh Steelers) - 1,533 yards
• 2016: T.Y. Hilton (Indianapolis Colts) - 1,448 yards
• 2015: Julio Jones (Atlanta Falcons) - 1,871 yards
• 2014: Antonio Brown (Pittsburgh Steelers) - 1,698 yards

These players led the league in receiving yards during their respective NFL seasons over the past decade.