2023 NFL Draft Projections For The Entire First Round

2023 NFL Mock Draft: BetQL Model Projections

Utilizing all of the available information across reputable current NFL mock drafts, NFL Draft history, specific team needs and more, our model came up with the following projection for the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft.

1. Carolina Panthers: Bryce Young (QB, Alabama)

2. Houston Texans: Will Levis (QB, Kentucky)

3. Arizona Cardinals: Will Anderson (LB, Alabama)

4. Indianapolis Colts: CJ Stroud (QB, Ohio State)

5. Seattle Seahawks: Jalen Carter (DT, Georgia)

6. Detroit Lions: Devon Witherspoon (CB, Illinois)

7. Las Vegas Raiders: Christian Gonzalez (CB, Oregon)

8. Atlanta Falcons: Tyree Wilson (DE, Texas Tech)

9. Chicago Bears: Peter Skoronski (OT, Northwestern)

10. Philadelphia Eagles: Paris Johnson Jr. (OT, Ohio State)

No surprises up top, as the Panthers should select Alabama legend Bryce Young with the first pick, followed by Will Levis going to the Texans at No. 2 and CJ Stroud going to the Colts at No. 4. Embattled defensive tackle Jalen Carter is projected to go 5th despite his off-field and character concerns as the top corners, defensive end and offensive tackle prospects round out the Top 10.

11. Tennessee Titans: Zay Flowers (WR, Boston College)

12. Houston Texans: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Ohio State)

13. Green Bay Packers: Broderick Jones (OT, Georgia)

14. New England Patriots: Bijan Robinson (RB, Texas)

15. New York Jets: Nolan Smith (OLB, Georgia)

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16. Washington Commanders: Emmanuel Forbes (CB, Mississippi State)

17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Deonte Banks (CB, Maryland)

18. Detroit Lions: Joey Porter Jr. (CB, Penn State)

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida)

20. Seattle Seahawks: Jordan Addison (WR, USC)

The run on wide receivers is projected to start with Pick 11 when Zay Flowers goes to the Titans, followed by Jaxon Smith-Njigba to the Texans at 12 and then Jordan Addison to the Seahawks at 20. Other notable picks in this round feature Texas RB Bijan Robinson to the Patriots at No. 14 and Florida QB Anthony Richardson to the Buccaneers at 19.

21. Los Angeles Chargers: Myles Murphy (DT, Clemson)

22. Baltimore Ravens: Quentin Johnson (WR, TCU)

23. Minnesota Vikings: Brian Branch (S, Alabama)

24. Jacksonville Jaguars: Will McDonald IV (OLB, Iowa State)

25. New York Giants: Darnell Washington (TE, Georgia)

26. Dallas Cowboys: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, Alabama)

27. Buffalo Bills: Keion White (OLB, Georgia Tech)

28. Cincinnati Bengals: Dalton Kincaid (TE, Utah)

29. New Orleans Saints: Lukas Van Ness (DE, Iowa)

30. Philadelphia Eagles: Calijah Kancey (DT, Pittsburgh)

31. Kansas City Chiefs: Darnell Wright (OT, Tennessee)

Not Michael Mayer or Dalton Kincaid, but Darnell Washington out of Georgia is expected to be the first tight end off the board at No. 25 while Alabama running back Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to go 26th to the Cowboys, who need to replace Zeke Elliott. Scroll down to see all of the best bets for this first round mock!

2023 NFL Mock Draft: BetQL Model Best Bets

Based on the projections above, these plus-money bets are standing out as fantastic values! These are ranked from longest to shortest, so pick and choose what you like!

Darnell Washington 1st TE Drafted (+1100, BetMGM)

Titans To Take WR With 1st Pick In Draft (+700, Caesars)

Zay Flowers 1st WR Selected (+650, BetMGM)

Will Anderson 3rd Overall Pick (+400, BetMGM)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2nd WR Selected (+350, BetRivers)

Peter Skoronski 1st Player Drafted By Bears (+380, PointsBet)

Peter Skoronski 9th Overall Pick (+250, BetRivers)

Bills To Take LB With 1st Pick In Draft (+250, Caesars)

Peter Skoronski 1st OL Drafted (+200, BetMGM)

Peter Skoronski Drafted Before Parris Johnson Jr. (+155, BetRivers)

Zay Flowers Drafted Before Pick 22.5 (+140, DraftKings)

Commanders To Take DB With 1st Pick In Draft (+125, Caesars)

Hendon Hooker Drafted After Pick 31.5 (+125, DraftKings)

Saints To Take DL/EDGE With 1st Pick In Draft (+120, Caesars)

Quentin Johnson Drafted Before Pick 26.5 (+115, DraftKings)

Devon Witherspoon 6th Overall Pick (+100 BetRivers)

Darnell Washington 1st Round Pick (+100, BetRivers)