Philadelphia Eagles vsPittsburgh Steelers Prediction
The Pittsburgh Steelers are a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat the Philadelphia Eagles. James Conner is projected for 77 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Philadelphia Eagles wins, Carson Wentz averages 1.72 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.23 TDs to 0.94 interceptions. Miles Sanders averages 78 rushing yards and 0.77 rushing TDs when Philadelphia Eagles wins and 48 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. The Pittsburgh Steelers has a 56% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time.
Pittsburgh Steelers Preview
The Steelers were expected to deliver a bounce-back season following their disastrous 2019 campaign, where injuries and poor individual performances sunk them to the point they didn’t appear to be the same Pittsburgh franchise that looked dominant through prolonged stretches of the last decade. Things have changed in 2020 at Heinz Field, and for the better -- the Steelers have started the season with a 3-0 record and look like the team to beat in the AFC North despite the fact the Cleveland Browns are on the rise and even considering the Baltimore Ravens have Lamar Jackson, the reigning NFL MVP, leading the offense. Pittsburgh’s calling card this season has been the defense, and the Steelers are undoubtedly excelling at that end of the field -- they have allowed just 58 total points through their first three games of the season, good for a 19.3 average while also looking sharper and sharper on the offensive side of the ball. Ben Roethlisberger is healthy and, even though he’s no longer the elite quarterback he once was, he remains more than capable to get the job done every time he has the chance. As if that wasn’t enough, Pittsburgh will be more rested for this matchup since their Week 4 matchup against the Tennessee Titans was postponed due to COVID-19 concerns in the Tennessee camp. It seems everything is going Pittsburgh’s way prior to Sunday’s kickoff.
Philadelphia Eagles Preview
It’s not a stretch to say the Eagles season has not gone as expected, as they were heavily expected to contend for a spot in the NFC Playoffs but, instead, they’ve stumbled to a 1-2-1 record through the first four games of the season. Philadelphia still sit at the top of the NFC East but solely because the division is arguably the worst in football at the moment. There are eight teams in the NFC with a better record than the Eagles, but that doesn’t tell the whole story of how bad they have been this year. Philadelphia owns a -23 net point differential through four games, ranking 10th best in the NFC in that statistic, and their 84 points scored are the third-worst mark in Conference, only topping the New York Giants and the Washington Football Team. As if that wasn’t enough, the Eagles have not been a betting-friendly team, either, since they’ve gone 1-3-0 ATS in the current campaign. Carson Wentz is clearly one of the reasons why Philadelphia have been so bad this year, as he has completed just 60.6 percent of his passes while tossing four touchdowns and seven interceptions. He leads the NFL in picks and is also averaging 5.8 yards per pass attempt, meaning he has been both mistake-prone and conservative at the same time. That’s not a winning recipe, especially when the offense is performing at a below-average level across the board. The Eagles are averaging 319.0 yards per game, the fifth-worst mark in the NFL this season. The defense can’t be left out of the team’s struggles, though, as the Eagles are allowing 352.2 total yards per game. Having a bottom-10 offense and a bottom-10 defense can’t be a recipe for success, and the Eagles are proving exactly that.
Full Game Prediction
The Eagles are in dire need of a bounce-back performance, but that’s not going to happen in this game. Roethlisberger can feast with Philadelphia’s weak secondary unit -- one that allowed 417 total yards to the San Francisco 49ers in Week 4 -- and, at the other end, the Steelers’ defense will suffocate Wentz, something they’ve done with every other quarterback they’ve faced this season. Pittsburgh should be large favorites to win this one at Heinz Field.
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