ATL
Falcons
Fri 10/30, 12:20 AM
CAR
Panthers
CAR -3 O/U 49
IND
Colts
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
DET
Lions
IND -2.5 O/U 50
TEN
Titans
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
CIN
Bengals
TEN -6 O/U 54.5
PIT
Steelers
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
BAL
Ravens
BAL -3.5 O/U 46.5
NYJ
Jets
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
KC
Chiefs
KC -19.5 O/U 48.5
NE
Patriots
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
BUF
Bills
BUF -3.5 O/U 43
LAR
Rams
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
MIA
Dolphins
LAR -4 O/U 46.5
MIN
Vikings
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
GB
Packers
GB -6.5 O/U 54.5
OAK
Raiders
Sun 11/1, 6:00 PM
CLE
Browns
CLE -2.5 O/U 53.5
LAC
Chargers
Sun 11/1, 9:05 PM
DEN
Broncos
LAC -3 O/U 44
SF
49ers
Sun 11/1, 9:25 PM
SEA
Seahawks
SEA -3 O/U 54
NO
Saints
Sun 11/1, 9:25 PM
CHI
Bears
NO -4 O/U 45
DAL
Cowboys
Mon 11/2, 1:20 AM
PHI
Eagles
PHI -7.5 O/U 43.5
TB
Buccaneers
Tue 11/3, 1:15 AM
NYG
Giants
TB -10.5 O/U 46.5
Atlanta FalconsFalcons
1-6-0
Sun 10/18, 5:00 PM - Us Bank Stadium
ATL +3.5, O/U 53.5
Minnesota VikingsVikings
1-5-0
Sun 10/18, 5:00 PM - Us Bank Stadium
ATL +3.5, O/U 53.5
Falcons
1-6-0
Vikings
1-5-0
Spread
Moneyline
Total
1H Spread
1H Moneyline
1H Total
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Falcons
Vikings
Proj Full Score
Proj Win %
Proj First Half Score
Proj First Half Win %
Home Field Advantage
B-Team GradeC+
B+Offense GradeA-
D-Defense GradeD+
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Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
% of Money --
% of Tickets --
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
% of Money --
% of Tickets --
Lines
Team
Falcons
Vikings
+3.5 (-110)
o53.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
o53.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
o53.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
o53 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
o53 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
o53.5 (-110)

Atlanta Falcons vsMinnesota Vikings Prediction

The Minnesota Vikings are a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Alexander Mattison is projected for 56 rushing yards and a 43% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Matt Ryan averages 2.11 TD passes vs 0.55 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.59 TDs to 0.98 interceptions. Todd Gurley averages 79 rushing yards and 0.97 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 46 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. The Minnesota Vikings has a 84% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 70% of the time.

Atlanta Falcons Preview

Dan Quinn was able to avoid termination after a dreadful start in 2019, but he couldn’t do it two years in a row. Quinn and GM Thomas Dimitroff both received their walking papers this week after the Falcons fell to 0-5 on the season. Defensive coordinator Raheem Morris has been named the interim head coach and will try to pull the Falcons out of their rut. If it matters, the Falcons have lost to four teams that have a winning record, including two of the NFL’s remaining unbeaten teams. However, they’ve also let leads slip away and found a way to lose winnable games, reinforcing the need to move on from Quinn.

Early in the season, the Atlanta offense was clicking on all cylinders. Keep in mind they scored 39 points against the Cowboys in Week 2. But the Falcons have failed to take off over the last two weeks, scoring just 16 points each against the Packers and Panthers. With Julio Jones missing two games due to injury and Calvin Ridley playing through an injury, the Atlanta passing game has suffered. Matt Ryan has thrown one touchdown and two interceptions over his last three games while getting sacked eight times during that time. It’s been a rare slump for Ryan, who needs to get back on track because the Falcons have been getting solid production from Todd Gurley and the running game.

Of course, the Atlanta defense has been the main culprit for the team’s 0-5 record. The Falcons are giving up 32 points per game, which is the second-worst in the NFL through five weeks. Injuries have played a small role in those defensive struggles, but not enough to explain why the Falcons have given up at least 30 points in four of their five games. If there’s a silver lining it’s that the Falcons held the Panthers to three points in the second half last week and 23 points total, which is a step in the right direction. But Atlanta is still giving up far too many big plays.

Minnesota Vikings Preview

It’s hard not to feel a little bad for the Vikings, who sit at 1-4 heading into Week 6. They have faced a pair of undefeated teams in the Packers and Seahawks, as well as the Colts and Titans. On top of that, two of Minnesota’s losses have come by a single point. The Vikings are just a couple of plays away from being 3-2 and being considered a playoff contender in the NFC. Instead, they are sitting at the bottom of the NFC North and have a long road ahead of them to reach the playoffs. Every game moving forward is more or less a must-win for Mike Zimmer’s team.

To add injury to insult, the Vikings aren’t sure about the status of running back Dalvin Cook for Week 6. The good news is that they have a capable backup in Alexander Mattison, who came off the bench to rush for 112 yards against the Seahawks last week. However, the Vikings would prefer to have both with the way Kirk Cousins has played this year. Naturally, Cousins has had his moments when he’s played well. But he also has games where he looks dreadful. The hope is that against the Atlanta defense Cousins will have one of his better games, especially with the recent emergence of rookie Justin Jefferson.

The Vikings also have plenty of concerns on the other side of the ball where they are giving up over 30 points per game. In fact, Minnesota has conceded a minimum of 23 points in every game this year, which doesn’t make it easy to win games with such an inconsistent quarterback. In fairness, the Minnesota defense shutout Seattle in the first half last week and was victimized in the second half when the Seahawks scored touchdowns on short fields. However, 11 sacks and four takeaways in five games isn’t going to cut regardless of what the Minnesota offense does.

Full Game Prediction

In theory, facing the 1-4 Vikings provides a good opportunity for the Falcons to get their first win of the season. Of course, the Atlanta defense will have to find a way to contain Minnesota’s running game, regardless of whether Cook plays or not. The Falcons also need to get Ryan back on track even with Jones continuing to battle a hamstring injury. In the end, if the Falcons can score points, they’ll be able to take away Minnesota’s running game and force Cousins to beat them, which is the best-case scenario for Atlanta.

Don’t forget to sign up for a BetQL subscription so you can check out all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. In addition to the extra insight, you’ll also be privy to our model’s Falcons vs Vikings prediction.

Brian "The Prodigy" Hunt
Prediction Written by
Brian "The Prodigy" Hunt

Brian, also known as The Prodigy is an avid sports bettor who will bet anything anytime. His specialties include football, basketball, and the EPL. Brian's favorite teams are the Sixers, Phillies, Temple Owls, BYU Cougars, and the Southampton Saints. Brian watches most of the games that are on each night and never lets his favorite teams' bias get in the way of his bets. Follow the Prodigy's Picks and start cashing more bets.

Team Summary
Atlanta Falcons Summary
ATL
Head Coach
Raheem Morris
Avg. Pts. Scored
26.29
1H Pts. Scored
14.43
Def. Pts. Allowed
29.57
Minnesota Vikings Summary
MIN
Head Coach
Mike Zimmer
Avg. Pts. Scored
25.83
1H Pts. Scored
10
Def. Pts. Allowed
32
Schedule Summary
ATL
Teams
MIN
No. Of Games
Record
ATS Record
Cover%
O/U Record
Over%
Schedule & Result
Reset Filters Lock in Filters
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Reset Filters Lock in Filters
Total Games: 16Record: 1-5 ATS Record: 4-2O/U Record: 4-2
Games: 16Record: 1-5 ATS: 4-2O/U: 4-2
DateOpponentScoreATSO/USun 9/13vs. GBL 34-43
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Sun 9/20@ INDL 11-28
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Sun 9/27vs. TENL 30-31
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Sun 10/4@ HOUW 31-23
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Mon 10/12@ SEAL 26-27
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Sun 10/18vs. ATLL 23-40
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Thu 10/22vs. BYE--
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Sun 11/1@ GB--
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Sun 11/8vs. DET--
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Tue 11/17@ CHI--
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Sun 11/22vs. DAL--
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Sun 11/29vs. CAR--
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Sun 12/6vs. JAX--
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Sun 12/13@ TB--
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Sun 12/20vs. CHI--
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Fri 12/25@ NO--
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Sun 1/3@ DET--
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Line Movement
ATL
MIN
Spread
Moneyline
Total
1st Half Spread
1st Half Moneyline
1st Half Total
2nd Half Spread
2nd Half Moneyline

-3

-3.5

-4

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Falcons Lineup
QB
Player Image
Matt Ryan
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Todd Gurley II
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Calvin Ridley
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Russell Gage
QST
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Julio Jones
QST
Latest News
TE
Player Image
Hayden Hurst
Latest News
 
Vikings Lineup
QB
Player Image
Kirk Cousins
RB
Player Image
Alexander Mattison
RB
Player Image
Dalvin Cook
QST
WR
Player Image
Chad Beebe
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Adam Thielen
WR
Player Image
Justin Jefferson
TE
Player Image
Irv Smith Jr.
TE
Player Image
Kyle Rudolph
ATL Lineup
MIN Lineup
 
Falcons Lineup
QB
Player Image
Matt Ryan
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Todd Gurley II
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Calvin Ridley
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Russell Gage
QST
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Julio Jones
QST
Latest News
TE
Player Image
Hayden Hurst
Latest News
 
Falcons Injuries
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Vikings Injuries
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ATL Injuries
MIN Injuries
 
Falcons Injuries
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