TB
Buccaneers
Sun 1/24, 8:05 PM
GB
Packers
GB -3.5 O/U 51
BUF
Bills
Sun 1/24, 11:40 PM
KC
Chiefs
KC -3 O/U 54
Cleveland BrownsBrowns
11-5-0
CLE Team Logo
Yesterday, 8:05 PM - Arrowhead Stadium
CLE +8, O/U 56
KC Team Logo
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs
14-2-0
Yesterday, 8:05 PM - Arrowhead Stadium
CLE +8, O/U 56
CLE Team Logo
Browns
11-5-0
KC Team Logo
Chiefs
14-2-0
Spread
Moneyline
Total
1H Spread
1H Moneyline
1H Total
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Cleveland Browns
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Kansas City Chiefs
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Team
Browns
Chiefs
+8 (-110)
o56 (-110)
+8 (-110)
o55.5 (-110)
+8 (-110)
o55.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
o56 (-110)
+8 (-110)
o56 (-110)
-- (--)
--
CLE Team Logo
Browns Player Prop Bets
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Baker Mayfield (QB)
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Comp
Pass Yds
Pass TD
Pass Int
Rush
Rush Yds
Rush TD
Best Bets
Over/Under 22.5 Passing Completions
Over/Under 259.5 Passing Yards
Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Over/Under 0.5 Passing Interceptions
Over/Under 14.5 Rushing Yards
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Nick Chubb (RB)
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Rush
Rush Yds
Rush TD
Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
Best Bets
Over/Under 16.5 Rushes
Over/Under 75.5 Rushing Yards
Over/Under 1.5 Receptions
Over/Under 15.5 Receiving Yards
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Kareem Hunt (RB)
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Rush
Rush Yds
Rush TD
Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
Best Bets
Over/Under 7.5 Rushes
Over/Under 31.5 Rushing Yards
Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
Over/Under 19.5 Receiving Yards
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Donovan Peoples-Jones (WR)
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Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
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Over/Under 1.5 Receptions
Over/Under 22.5 Receiving Yards
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Jarvis Landry (WR)
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Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
Best Bets
Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
Over/Under 58.5 Receiving Yards
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Rashard Higgins (WR)
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Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
Best Bets
Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
Over/Under 46.5 Receiving Yards
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Austin Hooper (TE)
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Rec
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Best Bets
Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
Over/Under 45.5 Receiving Yards
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Harrison Bryant (TE)
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Rec
Rec Yds
Best Bets
Over/Under 1.5 Receptions
Over/Under 10.5 Receiving Yards
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Patrick Mahomes (QB)
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Comp
Pass Yds
Pass TD
Pass Int
Rush
Rush Yds
Rush TD
Best Bets
Over/Under 27.5 Passing Completions
Over/Under 320.5 Passing Yards
Over/Under 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Over/Under 0.5 Passing Interceptions
Over/Under 22.5 Rushing Yards
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Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB)
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Rush
Rush Yds
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Rec
Rec Yds
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Le'Veon Bell (RB)
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Rush
Rush Yds
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Rec
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Best Bets
Over/Under 41.5 Rushing Yards
Over/Under 1.5 Receptions
Over/Under 12.5 Receiving Yards
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Darrel Williams (RB)
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Rec Yds
Best Bets
Over/Under 13.5 Receiving Yards
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Demarcus Robinson (WR)
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Rec
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Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
Over/Under 39.5 Receiving Yards
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Mecole Hardman (WR)
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Rec
Rec Yds
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Best Bets
Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
Over/Under 34.5 Receiving Yards
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Tyreek Hill (WR)
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Rush
Rush Yds
Rush TD
Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
Best Bets
Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
Over/Under 87.5 Receiving Yards
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Travis Kelce (TE)
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Rec
Rec Yds
Rec TD
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Over/Under 7.5 Receptions
Over/Under 94.5 Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vsKansas City Chiefs Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs are a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over the Cleveland Browns. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 294 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Clyde Edwards-Helaire is projected for 119 rushing yards and a 77% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21% of simulations where Cleveland Browns wins, Baker Mayfield averages 2.49 TD passes vs 0.39 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.83 TDs to 0.83 interceptions. Nick Chubb averages 84 rushing yards and 0.82 rushing TDs when Cleveland Browns wins and 54 yards and 0.38 TDs in losses. Kansas City Chiefs has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time.

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs officially begin the defense of their Super Bowl title in the Divisional Round of the playoffs when they take on the Cleveland Browns. Kickoff is set for 3:05 EST on Sunday, January 17, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Current betting odds list the Chiefs as 10-point home favorites with an over/under of 56 points. Keep reading to get a preview of both teams and learn about our Chiefs vs Browns prediction against the spread.

Kansas City Chiefs Preview

The Chiefs had won 10 straight games before deciding to take it easy and rest some key players in Week 17. Kansas City ended up losing that game 38-21 to finish 14-2 on the season. Between not taking Week 17 seriously and getting a bye last week, the Chiefs will begin their playoff journey as the most well-rested team in the NFL, as they strive to become the first team in over a decade to win back-to-back Super Bowls.

Week 17 aside, the Kansas City offense had a few hiccups late in the season. While it’s difficult to find too many faults with Patrick Mahomes, the Kansas City rushing attack was up and down all season. Rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire provided a spark at times, although he also struggled at times and didn’t play late in the regular season because of an injury. Meanwhile, Le’Veon Bell provides another option, although he didn’t make much of an impact when given a chance. Keep in mind that the Chiefs only scored 17 points against Atlanta in Week 16 before playing several backups in Week 17. The Chiefs are banking that getting extra rest and getting to full health will be more important than having rhythm on continuity on offense.

Meanwhile, the Kansas City defense faces several question marks heading into the playoffs. To be fair, that was also the case last season. The Chiefs gave up at least 24 points in six of their final eight games after looking a lot more formidable during the early part of the season. Obviously, the Chiefs have done enough defensively to win 14 games this season, largely thanks to the efforts of Chris Jones and Frank Clark on the defensive line. However, there are some lingering concerns about how the Kansas City defense will fare against quality competition in the playoffs.

Cleveland Browns Preview

It was a long wait, but the Browns finally won a playoff game last week, doing so for the first time since 1994. Of course, beating the Steelers wasn’t as easy as one might assume it would be after taking a 28-0 lead. But between the fast start and the five takeaways, the Browns did enough to hang on for a 48-37 win. The for Cleveland is that the team can finally put its recent COVID trouble behind them because the Browns will need all hands on deck if they want to reach the AFC Championship Game for the first time since 1989.

All season, the Cleveland offense has revolved around the rushing attack. That’s not about to change in the playoffs, as Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will be the two most important catalysts for the Browns. The question is whether the Cleveland offensive line will be anywhere close to full health after multiple players left last week’s game against Pittsburgh due to injury. If the Cleveland offensive line can’t create holes for Chubb and Hunt the way they did last week, the pressure shifts to quarterback Baker Mayfield, who was sharp against the Steelers but wasn’t asked to carry the offense. That might not be the case against Kansas City.

Of course, the Browns can’t exactly lean on their defense. In between starting the game with a defensive score and forcing five touchdowns, the Cleveland defense gave up 37 points and over 500 yards of offense against the Steelers. In fairness, the game plan changes after leading 28-0. But the Browns have had trouble defending the pass all season, and losing Oliver Vernon late in the regular season doesn’t help. Keep in mind that despite playing the entire game with a lead, the Browns did record any sacks against Ben Roethlisberger last week despite 68 pass attempts.

Full Game Prediction

The Browns can’t expect to jump on the Chiefs with 28 straight points like they did to the Steelers last week. They’ll have to do their best to run the ball effectively to help put pressure on the Kansas City defense and keep Mahomes off the field. The Browns won’t feel good about their chances if Mayfield is drawn into a shootout with Mahomes, which is why the Chiefs are 10-point favorites in this game.

Don’t forget to sign up for a BetQL subscription so you can gain access to critical stats, projections, and betting trends for this matchup. You will also see our model’s official Browns vs Chiefs prediction against the spread.

Bryan Zarpentine
Prediction Written by
Bryan Zarpentine

Bryan Zarpentine is a freelance writer and editor who specializes in sports and sports betting. Over the years, he has covered the NFL, MLB, college football, college basketball, and international and club soccer. Bryan is a graduate of Syracuse University and a lifelong fan of the Orange, as well as the New York Mets, Denver Broncos, and Tottenham Hotspur. When he’s not watching sports, there’s nothing he loves more than writing about sports, especially taking on unpopular opinions.

Team Summary
Cleveland Browns Summary
CLE Team Logo
CLE
Head Coach
Kevin Stefanski
Avg. Pts. Scored
26.82
1H Pts. Scored
15
Def. Pts. Allowed
26.82
Kansas City Chiefs Summary
KC Team Logo
KC
Head Coach
Andy Reid
Avg. Pts. Scored
29.56
1H Pts. Scored
15.19
Def. Pts. Allowed
22.62
Schedule Summary
CLE
Teams
KC
No. Of Games
Record
ATS Record
Cover%
O/U Record
Over%
Schedule & Result
Reset Filters Lock in Filters
Reset Filters Lock in Filters
Reset Filters Lock in Filters
Total Games: 16Record: 14-2 ATS Record: 6-10O/U Record: 8-8
Games: 16Record: 14-2 ATS: 6-10O/U: 8-8
DateOpponentScoreATSO/UFri 9/11vs. HOUW 34-20
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Sun 9/20@ LACW 23-20
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Tue 9/29@ BALW 34-20
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Sun 10/11vs. OAKL 32-40
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Mon 10/19@ BUFW 26-17
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Sun 10/25@ DENW 43-16
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Sun 11/1vs. NYJW 35-9
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Sun 11/8vs. CARW 33-31
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Thu 11/12vs. BYE--
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Mon 11/23@ OAKW 35-31
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Sun 11/29@ TBW 27-24
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Mon 12/7vs. DENW 22-16
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Sun 12/13@ MIAW 33-27
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Sun 12/20@ NOW 32-29
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Sun 12/27vs. ATLW 17-14
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Sun 1/3vs. LACL 21-38
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Sun 1/17vs. CLEW 22-17
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Line Movement
CLE
KC
Spread
Moneyline
Total
1st Half Spread
1st Half Moneyline
1st Half Total
2nd Half Spread
2nd Half Moneyline

-8

-8.5

-9

-9.5

-10

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Browns Lineup
QB
Player Image
Baker Mayfield
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Nick Chubb
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Donovan Peoples-Jones
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Jarvis Landry
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Rashard Higgins
Latest News
TE
Player Image
Austin Hooper
Latest News
 
Chiefs Lineup
QB
Player Image
Patrick Mahomes
QST
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Darrel Williams
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
IR
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Le'Veon Bell
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Demarcus Robinson
WR
Player Image
Mecole Hardman
WR
Player Image
Tyreek Hill
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Sammy Watkins
IR
Latest News
TE
Player Image
Travis Kelce
Latest News
CLE Lineup
KC Lineup
 
Browns Lineup
QB
Player Image
Baker Mayfield
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Nick Chubb
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Donovan Peoples-Jones
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Jarvis Landry
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Rashard Higgins
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TE
Player Image
Austin Hooper
Latest News
 
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Chiefs Injuries
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