Atlanta Falcons vs

Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

In this upcoming game, the Jacksonville Jaguars are heading into their matchup against the Atlanta Falcons as the solid favorites with a 64.0% chance of coming out victorious. The Jaguars will heavily rely on rookie running back Travis Etienne Jr. who is projected to accumulate 46.0 rushing yards. Additionally, Etienne Jr. carries a 26.0% chance of scoring at least one rushing touchdown, which could significantly impact the outcome of this game.

However, the Atlanta Falcons shouldn't be underestimated as they boast a decent chance of pulling off an upset with a 36.0% likelihood of winning. If the Falcons hope to secure a victory, quarterback Desmond Ridder will need to step up his game. In simulations where Atlanta emerges victorious, Ridder has averaged an impressive 2.2 touchdown passes and only 0.25 interceptions. On the other hand, in their losses, his performance sees a decline with a ratio of 1.56 TDs to 0.52 interceptions.

For the Falcons' rushing attack, Bijan Robinson will play a significant role. When Atlanta manages to secure a win, Robinson has shown his ability to contribute with an average of 49.0 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns. However, in their losses, his numbers drop to just 29.0 yards and 0.1 touchdowns. It will be crucial for the Falcons to establish a successful ground game if they have any hopes of coming out on top against the favored Jaguars.

Overall, this game presents an interesting matchup between the Jaguars as favorites and the Falcons as potential underdogs aiming for an upset. Turnovers could play a decisive role, with the Jaguars holding a slight advantage in this department and carrying a 41.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. The significance of turnovers becomes evident when looking at historical data, as the Jaguars have won an impressive 84% of games where they have a positive turnover margin. To find out more on how our model is picking this game and to gain access to our detailed analysis, be sure to subscribe to BetQL for all the essential information you need as a sports bettor.