Jacksonville Jaguars
8-4
Indianapolis Colts
8-4
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Jacksonville Jaguars vsIndianapolis Colts Prediction

The Indianapolis Colts are a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Philip Rivers is averaging 232 passing yards and 1.1 TDs per simulation and Jonathan Taylor is projected for 107 rushing yards and a 76% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Jacksonville Jaguars wins, Mike Glennon averages 1.61 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.2 TDs to 1.34 interceptions. Dare Ogunbowale averages 89 rushing yards and 0.94 rushing TDs when Jacksonville Jaguars wins and 53 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. Indianapolis Colts has a 84% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

In a sign of the competitiveness of the AFC, the Indianapolis Colts would miss the playoffs if the postseason started today. The Colts will need to take care of business against the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars and hope for one loss from the Tennessee Titans, Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, or Miami Dolphins.

When the Colts have won this season, they have tended to win by a significant margin. Half of their ten wins are double-digit victories. The Colts’ point differential is 26 points higher than the Titans. Philip Rivers is having a solid debut season for the Colts. The veteran quarterback has passed for over 4,000 yards and has thrown for 23 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions.

The Jaguars have clinched the #1 pick of the upcoming NFL draft. After being a solid bet against the spread in their 12 games, the wheels have come off for Jaguars’ bettors. Jacksonville has failed to cover in their last three games and has lost each game by at least three touchdowns.

The Colts (-1070) are favored by 14 points against the Jaguars (+735) with the over/under set at 49.5 total points.

Indianapolis Colts Preview

The Colts are staring at the real possibility that they will finish with a record of 11-5 and miss the playoffs. Indianapolis will need at least one of the four teams ahead of them in the playoff standings to lose in Week 17 to have any chance of making the postseason. The Colts can even still win the AFC South but they will just take a playoff spot at this point. The Colts should not take the Jaguars for granted though as Jacksonville defeated Indianapolis in Week 1 by a 27-20 margin.

Jacksonville Jaguars Preview

Depending on one’s perspective, not much has gone right for the Jaguars in the last three weeks. Fans of the Jaguars are probably happy that their tanking has made Jacksonville the leader in the clubhouse for the services of likely #1 pick Trevor Lawrence. Bettors of the Jaguars though have been left with empty pockets as Jacksonville has lost their last three games by at least 21 points. The Jaguars failed to score 20 points in any of their last three games.

Full Game Prediction

Fourteen points is a large number to lay even against a team as bad as the Jaguars. However, this Colts’ team tends to win by large margins when they are victorious. Half of their wins are by double-digits. Indianapolis has a stronger net point differential than the Titans and Browns. The safest bet is to expect the Colts to continue Jacksonville’s streak of 20-point losses.

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