Chicago Bears vsAtlanta Falcons Prediction
Expect a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 48% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 62% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Montgomery is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Todd Gurley is averaging 70 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.