UFC Vegas 79 Odds, Picks, Predictions For This Weekend's Fight Card

UFC Vegas 79 Odds, Picks, Predictions

We have finally come to the end of 13 straight weeks of UFC fights! UFC Vegas 79 is the final card of the UFC’s summer stretch with a bye week to follow. This weekend’s card is a great way to cap off the summer with tons of entertaining fights going down. The co-main event sees ranked featherweights go at it as No. 10 Bryce Mitchell returns against No. 12 Dan Ige. The main event is an absolute fire fight as lightweights No. 6 Rafael Fiziev and No. 7 Mateusz Gamrot throw down! Plenty of other fun fights fill out the rest of the card so let's talk about some of the best bets for UFC Vegas 79 on ESPN+!

Note: odds accurate as of Sept. 21 on BetMGM

Mohammed Usman (10-2) vs. Jake Collier (13-9) 

Usman (-150) vs. Collier (+125), 5 p.m. ET 

Respectfully, Jake Collier is essentially done in the UFC. With three losses in a row against lackluster opponents, Collier is going to be erased from the promotion by Kamaru Usman’s little brother Mo. Not only does Mo outmatch Collier anywhere this fight goes, but he has also greatly improved since his UFC debut & this is a matchup tailor made to accelerate the star power of Usman. 

Much like his older brother, Mo is a great wrestler but at heavyweight he also has crazy KO power. Collier has lost his chin and will to fight through adversity in fights. As soon as Mo puts the pressure on Jake, he is either going to find a takedown or find a big KO punch. If Mo does get this fight to the ground, a finish with elbows and heavy fists is inevitable. As long as Mo stays under -175, smash the line. 

BEST BET: Mohammed Usman ML @ -150 

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Dan Argueta (9-1) vs. Miles Johns (13-2) 

Argueta (-175) vs. Johns (+145), 6:30 p.m. 

Dan Argueta is coming off of a brutal NC against Ronnie Lawrence where Dan was completely screwed out of a win by the ref. Despite that, this matchup against Miles Johns is extremely favorable for Argueta. Where Argueta has strengths, Johns has weaknesses, and this is going to be a very lopsided fight as it gets into the later rounds. 

Argueta runs constantly in the high altitude mountains of New Mexico. It is no secret he has an insane gas tank and can really use it to power his relentless wrestling. Johns often tires as fights go on, and the constant pressure of Argueta is going to seriously wear on him. If Argueta stays under -190, the line is very playable. It’s possible Argueta finds a ground-and-pound finish as the fight progresses, but it should be a dominant performance nonetheless. 

BEST BET: Dan Argueta ML @ -175

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Dan Ige (17-6) vs. Bryce Mitchell (15-2) 

Ige (+175) vs. Mitchell (-225), 8:30 p.m. ET 

It’s unfortunate, but the Bryce Mitchell hype has really fizzled out, and Dan Ige is a very playable dog in this fight. Mitchell is coming off of a performance in which he was absolutely dominated by Topuria. On top of his recent loss, a very bad shoulder injury forcing him to be inactive, and some lady trouble that has gone very public, there are too many factors making this fight a distraction for Mitchell. Ige has fought the best in the division and has remained very active while looking better each time out. At +175, we have to take a small shot against the whims and woes of Bryce Mitchell.

BEST BET: Dan Ige ML @ +175 

Rafael Fiziev (12-2) vs. Mateusz Gamrot (22-2) 

Fiziev (-160) vs. Gamrot (+130), 9 p.m. 

After going five hard rounds with Justin Gaethje, Rafael Fiziev is a different animal and is going to cause all sorts of problems for Mateusz Gamrot. Fiziev is the head instructor at Tiger Muay Thai and is one of the best strikers in the UFC. He is 100% going to outstrike Gamrot, and anytime Gamrot feels danger on the feet, he panic wrestles. Fiziev has great takedown defense and will be very hard for Gamrot to take down, especially as he tires. The gas tank, the take down defense, and the elite striking are going to lead Fiziev to a victory in this fight. Gamrot might even get finished late in the fight as he begins to shoot for sloppy takedowns. 

BEST BET: Rafael Fiziev ML @ -160