UFC 265 Preview: Derrick Lewis vs. Ciryl Gane Best Bets
How to bet the UFC 265 Main Event
Find Out Which Way We are Betting for UFC 265 Main Event
The UFC interim heavyweight championship is on the line at UFC 265 on Saturday night with No. 2 Derrick Lewis facing No. 3 Ciryl Gane.
The fight is taking place in Lewis’ hometown of Houston, Texas, but he is a significant betting underdog at +310, while the undefeated ‘Bon Gamin’ sits as a -400 favorite.
How should we bet this title fight?
When: Saturday, August 7
Where: Toyota Center, Houston, Texas
Watch: ESPN+
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Cyril Gane (-400) vs. Derrick Lewis (+310)
Gane has taken the UFC by storm since making his debut, compiling a 6-0 record in the promotion.
Standing 6’4” and built like a Greek god, Gane has been soaring up the heavyweight ranks. He has scored wins by knockout, submission, and one sided decisions.
Lewis has been on a tear as well, most recently finishing Curtis Blaydes with a violent knockout despite sitting as a +330 underdog.
Finishing 20 of his 25 wins by KO, you can never count out the the 36-year-old. He simply needs one punch to finish a fight and Gane has not faced a striker with that kind of power just yet.
While Lewis has the strength to win by knockout -- he sits +340 at FD to win by KO -- Gane is simply too polished in the standup and has the discipline to keep this fight at range to stay away from Lewis’ right hand.
In wins over Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Alexander Volkov, two noted kickboxing threats, the French fighter was able to dominate in a standup showdown, out striking his opponents in both fights.
I see a slow start to this fight from an action stand point, with ‘Bon Gamin’ chopping down on Lewis’ lead leg and sapping some of that violent power. Lewis is going to look to push forward, but Gane's defense is too sharp. He is dishing out more than five strikes per minute while posting the fourth best significant strike defense among active heavyweights, per UFCStats.com
As the fight drags on, this will only play into Gane’s strategy who can start to move forward and hunt for a finish.
I’ll be playing Gane in rounds 4, 5, or by decision, which is available at FanDuel at +115 odds.
There is too much finishing equity for Lewis to land a knockout blow for me to lay the chalk on Gane, but I do see this fight playing out like his prior two and the calculated undefeated heavyweight taking over as the fight goes on, taking home the interim belt and setting up a showdown with Francis Ngannou.
Pick: Gane rounds 4, 5, or by decision (+115)
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