NASCAR Odds, Predictions & Best Bets For This Weekend's Race

Our favorite drivers, odds and betting picks for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Texas Motor Speedway!

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NASCAR Odds, Predictions & Best Bets For Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

After two weeks on short, flat courses, NASCAR heads back to one of the similarly-configured 1.5-mile tracks for the second time in 2024 for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Texas Motor Speedway. 

While this style of track continues to be one of the most prevalent on the schedule, NASCAR and the two principal track owners have changed the balance over the past several years with an increased focus on road racing, but make no mistake: Teams still put a heavy emphasis on going fast on the "cookie-cutter" courses. 

BetRivers has the highest odds this week for the top-10 drivers on consensus with an average line of +1083 – and for the most part, each individual line for those drives is more lucrative than the other four sportsbooks we track.

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NASCAR Odds, Predictions & Best Bets For Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

After two weeks on short, flat courses, NASCAR heads back to one of the similarly-configured 1.5-mile tracks for the second time in 2024 for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Texas Motor Speedway. 

While this style of track continues to be one of the most prevalent on the schedule, NASCAR and the two principal track owners have changed the balance over the past several years with an increased focus on road racing, but make no mistake: Teams still put a heavy emphasis on going fast on the "cookie-cutter" courses. 

BetRivers has the highest odds this week for the top-10 drivers on consensus with an average line of +1083 – and for the most part, each individual line for those drives is more lucrative than the other four sportsbooks we track.

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NASCAR Picks For Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

1. Kyle Larson ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +400

Consensus Odds*: +410 | Best Odds: BetRivers +425

Handicapping Larson in recent weeks has been fairly straightforward, which often comes when a driver shows consistency. Of course, consistently running up front also garners the attention of the traders and Larson has the least lucrative odds in the field this week by nearly 2/1 to Tyler Reddick. Larson’s victories at Las Vegas in their last two races and a Homestead-Miami Speedway win in 2022 earns him the No. 1 slot this week, but be aware that he has also had issues and finished in the 30s in three of his last six "cookie-cutter" attempts. 

2. William Byron ⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +700

Consensus Odds*: +700 | Best Odds: All five books +700

There wasn’t a lot of disagreement among the major sportsbooks this week with all of them following Vegas’ established line but that is likely to change when the cars hit the track this weekend. What is significant is that over the past two seasons, the odds for Byron have been getting progressively stingier. In 2022, Byron had consensus odds of +1217, a difference of more than 5/1 from this week. He finished seventh on this track that year, but was much stronger in 2023 with the victory. He was strong on all of the "cookie-cutter" courses with five top-fives and a seventh in seven races. 

3. Christopher Bell ⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +1200

Consensus Odds*: +1200 | Best Odds: All five books +1200

Like Byron, Bell’s line was exactly the same on every book we track but the addition of +500 is very welcomed. Bell entered Vegas with the most recent momentum of any driver in the field. Beginning with a fourth at Texas, he rattled off a three-race streak of top-fives on this course type that ended in Victory Lane at Homestead. He struggled in Nevada but should rebound nicely in Texas, where he has three top-fives in his last four attempts.  

4. Tyler Reddick ⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +600

Consensus Odds*: +620 | Best Odds: MGM +700

Reddick’s love of cookies has not gone unnoticed by the sportsbook traders. This week, he slightly edged Denny Hamlin for the distinction of having the second-lowest odds and there is not a lot of wiggle room to place a profitable bet. With top-10s in six of his last seven similarly-configured 1.5-mile track races and four top-fives, he deserves the confidence and his win in the second Kansas race last year proves he can seal the deal on this course type. 

5. Ryan Blaney ⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +850

Consensus Odds*: +940 | Best Odds: BetRivers +1200

We handicapped Blaney third last week and he rewarded us with a top-five finish. When he finds the right setup on a track, Blaney tends to run well there for quite a while. That is good news when one looks at his Texas record. On this 1.5-mile course, he entered last year’s race with eight results of eighth or better in the previous nine races. An accident put an end to a five-race streak, but he should start another one this week.

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6. Denny Hamlin ⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +650

Consensus Odds*: +670 | Best Odds: Caesars, Bet Rivers +700

Hamlin’s victory and second-place in Kansas’ two races last year prove his ability to challenge this track type. He backs up that speed with consistency. In the last 18 races held on similarly-configured 1.5-mile tracks, he is one of only two drivers with a .500 average on this course type and three of those were wins. All three victories came on different tracks, which underscores his versatility. 

7. Brad Keselowski ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +2800

Consensus Odds*: +2820 | Best Odds: Caesars, BetRivers +3000

It has been more than 100 races since Keselowski last won a Cup race, 106 to be exact, and it is unlikely that will change in Texas, but if you can find a reasonable line for a top-five like his +350 at DraftKings, there is a bet to be made. Keselowski scored three results of ninth or better in last year’s seven "cookie-cutter" races including a fourth in Vegas. Texas has been a strong track for Kez and he enters the weekend with the longest top-10 streak there of five. 

8. Ty Gibbs ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +1600

Consensus Odds*: +1660 | Best Odds: MGM, BetRivers +1800

Now that Gibbs has finished outside the top 10 in back-to-back races, the traders are taking a more realistic look at his odds and at +1660, he falls just outside the top 10 on the consensus chart. Part of the reason for that is his average finish of 26th in his first 10 "cookie-cutter" races, but he has improved in his last two outings with a seventh last fall in Homestead and a fifth in Vegas. Gibbs’ top-five odds at DraftKings are a moderately attractive +260.

9. Martin Truex Jr. ⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +1000

Consensus Odds*: +1120 | Best Odds: MGM, Caesars, BetRivers +1200

Truex was our biggest disappointment last week. Handicapped second, he finished off the lead lap in 18th but since he went off-book on his strategy so early, he was mired in traffic for most of the evening on one of NASCAR’s shortest tracks. Truex has been uneven on similarly-configured 1.5-mile tracks, but mostly strong with top-10s in two-thirds of his last 18 attempts and top-15s 72 percent of the time.

10. Bubba Wallace ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings: Outright Win +1600

Consensus Odds*: +1540 | Best Odds: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers +1200

Wallace may well be the strongest longshot this week. He didn’t perform well in Vegas earlier this year, but there are solid signs from last season when he scored four results of fourth or third in the first five races on this course type. One of these was a third in the Texas race. Equally interesting, one of his two career victories came in the 2022 Hollywood Casino 400.

*Consensus odds at the average of six sportsbooks: DraftKings, Fanatics, MGM, Caesars, FanDuel, and BetRivers.

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