Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Longshot Same-Game Parlay

Ohio State -16.5 (+180)

Any longshot parlay is likely to begin with either a Notre Dame win or an Ohio State blowout win. In this game, we’ll be backing the Buckeyes to double the spread and win by at least 17 points. In its three playoff games, Ohio State has covered the spread without much of a problem. Granted, the Texas game looks worse than it was because of the late defensive touchdown when the Longhorns had a chance to tie the game. But the Buckeyes were fully in control of their games against Tennessee and Oregon and won those games by sizable margins. Meanwhile, Notre Dame won a back-and-forth game against Penn State, benefitting from mental errors and coaching mistakes by the Nittany Lions. They’ll have no such luck against the Buckeyes, who are more likely to blow out the Fighting Irish than they are to lose.

Under 38.5 (+200)

Unfortunately, this game may not provide offensive fireworks, which is why our longshot parlay is teasing down the point total to its lowest point and taking the under. While both teams have offensive prowess, they also rank first and second nationally in points allowed. Notre Dame, in particular, could struggle to find much traction offensively after the Ohio State defense held Oregon and Texas under wraps. To be fair, the Notre Dame defense will hold the Buckeyes to their lowest point total of the playoffs. However, the Irish will struggle to find the end zone in this game, which is why they'll lose by at least 17 points while keeping the total below 38.5 points.

Riley Leonard Under 0.5 Touchdown Passes (+130)

If Notre Dame has trouble reaching the end zone, it’s a safe bet that Leonard isn’t going to have a passing touchdown. He threw exactly one passing touchdown in each of Notre Dame’s first three playoff games. However, this is the best defense that Leonard and the Irish have faced all season. Notre Dame doesn’t exactly have an elite set of wide receivers, so winning one-on-one matchups against Ohio State’s defensive backs will be difficult. The Buckeyes aren’t going to get beat on a long touchdown the way Penn State did in the semifinal. Even if the Irish make it to the red zone, Leonard running it in with his legs is more likely than Leonard passing for a touchdown.

If Notre Dame has trouble reaching the end zone, it’s a safe bet that Leonard isn’t going to have a passing touchdown. He threw exactly one passing touchdown in each of Notre Dame’s first three playoff games. However, this is the best defense that Leonard and the Irish have faced all season. Notre Dame doesn’t exactly have an elite set of wide receivers, so winning one-on-one matchups against Ohio State’s defensive backs will be difficult. The Buckeyes aren’t going to get beat on a long touchdown the way Penn State did in the semifinal. Even if the Irish make it to the red zone, Leonard running it in with his legs is more likely than Leonard passing for a touchdown.

Quinshon Judkins 2+ Touchdowns (+425)

Judkins finished the regular season with nine total touchdowns, although five of them came early in the season against Ohio State’s lackluster non-conference schedule. However, he’s come alive during the playoffs, scoring two touchdowns against Tennessee and two more against Texas. In fairness, TreVeyon Henderson also has a pair of two-touchdown games during the playoffs. But Judkins has gotten far more carries than Henderson late in the season and during the playoffs. The Ole Miss transfer is going to be Ohio State’s primary weapon against Notre Dame, as the Buckeyes will continue to run the ball a lot since their defense will keep the Irish from scoring. That will open the door for Judkins to have another two-touchdown game in the national championship.

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