As the 2024 college football season unfolds, Dillon Gabriel has emerged as the frontrunner in the Heisman Trophy race. Opening at +800, Gabriel’s odds have now improved to +700, placing him ahead of Georgia’s Carson Beck, who moved from +800 to +750. With 10.2% of tickets and 15.3% of the handle backing him in the Heisman market, Gabriel's journey and potential for this season warrant a closer look.
Gabriel is embarking on his sixth college season, bringing a wealth of experience from his stints at UCF (2019-2021) and Oklahoma (2022-2023). His cumulative stats are nothing short of impressive: 14,865 passing yards, 125 touchdowns, and just 26 interceptions. He has also showcased his dual-threat capability with 1,060 rushing yards and 26 rushing touchdowns.
Last season at Oklahoma was Gabriel’s best, where he completed 69.3% of his passes for 30 touchdowns and six interceptions, and added 12 rushing touchdowns. His performance has cemented him as one of the most prolific passers in college football history, currently sitting 8th on the all-time passing yards leaderboard. With Case Keenum holding the all-time record at 19,217 yards, Gabriel would need an extraordinary 4,352 yards to surpass him. However, he only needs 2,207 yards to pass Timmy Chang for 2nd place, a realistic goal if he stays healthy.
In terms of touchdown passes, Gabriel needs 31 to break Keenum’s record of 155. Given his track record, this seems within reach. Just 18 more touchdown passes would move him into 2nd place all-time, ahead of Kellen Moore.
Gabriel’s transfer to Oregon presents a golden opportunity. The Ducks have been known for their prolific passing game, and Bo Nix’s recent success in their offense bodes well for Gabriel. Head coach Dan Lanning and offensive coordinator Will Stein have praised Gabriel’s leadership and understanding of the offense, indicating he can hit the ground running.
Oregon’s schedule is challenging, featuring matchups against Idaho, Boise State, Oregon State, UCLA, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Illinois, Michigan, Maryland, Wisconsin, and Washington. If Gabriel can deliver standout performances, particularly in the high-stakes games against Ohio State, Michigan, and Wisconsin, his Heisman candidacy will strengthen significantly.
The betting market’s support for Gabriel reflects confidence in his ability to shine this season. His odds improvement and significant backing in the Heisman market underscore his potential to not only light up the scoreboard but also to make a serious run at historic records.
As Gabriel climbs the history books, his achievements will undoubtedly catch the attention of Heisman voters. His blend of experience, skill, and leadership positions him as a compelling candidate for college football’s most prestigious award.
Dillon Gabriel’s sixth season promises to be his most exciting yet. With a potent combination of talent, experience, and a favorable offensive system at Oregon, Gabriel is well-positioned to make history. As he navigates a challenging schedule and continues to amass impressive stats, Gabriel’s journey to the Heisman Trophy will be a thrilling storyline to follow this season.
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