The college football season is almost here and this is the perfect time to take advantage of college football futures markets. BetQL simulated every game of the 2022 season 10,000 times and projected the four most likely teams to make the 2022 College Football Playoff. Scroll down to find our projections and the odds you can get if you parlay all of them together at FanDuel.
Alabama (-350, SEC): Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide will not take last season's loss in the championship game to Georgia lightly. This is a coach and program that is dedicated to winning championships each and every year, and most of the time, they either do or get very close. Close isn't good enough for Saban, and that is why he is one of the greatest college coaches of all time. The talent is there, QB Bryce Young is back, and they are all ready to take revenge on everyone who stands in their way. They very well could go 12-0, as they will be favored in every game they play, but this is a very tough schedule. There may be a loss somewhere in there most likely, but as always with Alabama, it’s going to take something huge for there to be a second loss keeping them out of the CFP.
BetQL's projections are giving Alabama a 43.6% chance to make the CFP, or +129 implied odds. While there isn't any value taking this leg as its own bet, if you think Alabama makes the CFP, it is a critical piece of your parlay.
Ohio State (-280, Big Ten): There is simply no excuse for this team not to make the CFP this season. They should be almost a lock to win the Big Ten, and there is every reason to believe they can get to the championship. Last season's loss to Michigan will motivate this team even more. Ohio State shouldn’t just beat Michigan and do all the other things needed to get to the CFP, but they have the talent and upside to handle whatever team or teams that come out of the SEC. It shouldn't be a foregone conclusion that an SEC team will win the championship this season, and if anyone has the chance to upset an Alabama or Georgia, it's Ohio State. With their schedule, OSU should be good enough to be a double-digit favorite against everyone. There might be one loss, but there won’t be a second in the regular season, which locks in this leg.
BetQL's projections give Ohio State a whopping 87.1% chance to make the CFP, or -675 implied odds. In other words, this might be the surest pick in the parlay.
Georgia (-160, SEC): Alabama and Georgia have proven themselves as the best teams in the best conference in the sport, and there is no reason to think that the defending champions won't also get some bias when it is time to make CFP selections. Even with all the superstar losses on defense, and even with a few key parts gone on offense, Georgia should be favored in all 12 regular season games. I asked this in another article, but I'll ask it here again. When did Georgia lose twice in the regular season under Kirby Smart without Alabama on their schedule? 2019? No. 2018? No. 2017? No. You have to go all the way back to 2016 when Georgia was rebuilding in his first year. If Alabama wasn't on their schedule in 2020, Georgia would be looking at five straight years of no more than one regular season loss. Guess who isn't on their regular season schedule in 2022? Bama.
BetQL's projections give Georgia a 48.8% chance to make the CFP, or +105 implied odds. As with Alabama, there's little to no value in this bet separately, but there's a great chance the defending national champs are back in the CFP this season.
Clemson (+125, ACC): Clemson is easily the biggest wild card here, as we don't know if they will recover from last season's "letdown," which still resulted in double-digit wins. That's right, even with all the bashing and hate that was directed towards Dabo Swinney and his team last season, they still won 10 games. Even if the offense doesn't take a huge leap forward from last year, it might not matter that much. If the defense can stay healthy and the ground game can take over, this is already a 10-win team before the season starts. They have two games all season that threaten them at all: NC State at home, where they haven't lost since 2016, and Notre Dame in South Bend, which will be a tough test. Clemson will almost certainly be playing in the ACC Championship, but the real question is if they will have one, two, or no losses when they get there.
BetQL's projections give Clemson a 55.7% chance to make the CFP, or -126 implied odds. With arguably the easiest path to the CFP among this group, Clemson has the second-best chance to make it, according to BetQL projections.
Which team(s) would you sub into the parlay to make the CFP? USC (+340)? Oklahoma (+450)? Those would pump up this parlay's odds even higher, so play around with it at FanDuel to find your favorite combo. This CFP parlay would be a great option for new users to make their first $5 bet and get $150 in free bets instantly!