BetQL Staff College Football Picks For Week 7

Dan Karpuc: San Jose State -8.5 at Fresno State
I’m a sucker for trends and streaks, so this bet is certainly standing out to me this week. Fresno State entered the year with decent expectations, but has fallen way short with a 1-4 overall record and 0-5 ATS mark, one of the most notable streaks in college football at the moment. A recent injury to quarterback Jake Haener certainly didn’t help, but this team lost outright to UConn and then got demolished by Boise State. They’re in a very bad place right now and it won’t get easier in this matchup. Unfortunately for Fresno, San Jose State not only enters this game with 4-1 ASU and 3-2 ATS marks, but has outscored their last three opponents (Western Michigan, Wyoming, UNLV) to the tune of 79-16. Yes, 79-16. Under coach Brent Brennan, SJS has also gone 13-3 ATS after two games where they committed one or no turnovers.

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Lucy Burdge: Kentucky +225 vs. Mississippi State
Kentucky is going to want to stop the skid they’re on as soon as possible and I think they’ll do it here with an upset win over Mississippi State. They’ve lost their last two games, but Will Levis is practicing again after suffering a foot injury so that is a promising sign for the team this week. And some trends in their favor to win are that Mark Stoops at Kentucky is 14-4 SU vs. teams that average at least 60 penalty yards per game, and 10-1 versus teams averaging 120 or fewer rushing yards per game. So I like Kentucky to get a much-needed win here.

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Brad Pinkerton: Kansas +8.5 at Oklahoma

This is almost certainly a trap, but I'll bite. Oklahoma is reeling after three straight losses and getting outscored 104-24 in the last two, including a 49-0 thrashing by Texas on their own field. That leaves the Sooners at just 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS. Meanwhile, the surprising Jayhawks (5-1) took their first loss last week against TCU, but are still a solid 5-0-1 ATS this season. I love Kansas getting more than a touchdown at Oklahoma this weekend and wouldn't be surprised if the Jayhawks, who are 3-1 SU this year as underdogs, pulled the outright upset for their first win against the Sooners since 1997 (Kansas is +250 at DraftKings and Caesars).

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