College Football Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 9

College Football Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 9

The college football season rolls along to Week 9, and BetQL is your source for NCAAF best bets, live college football public bets, live NCAAF sharp data, college football line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NCAAF articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.

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MORE: BETQL EDITORS’ WEEK 9 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS

Virginia Tech at No. 24 N.C. State

ATS Record: Virginia Tech 2-5, NC State 2-5

O/U Record: Virginia Tech 1-6, NC State 3-4

In their first game without quarterback Devin Leary, N.C. State failed to find the end zone and managed just 255 total yards in a loss to Syracuse. Perhaps things will be better after a bye week, but the Wolfpack have still scored 21 points or fewer in four of seven games. They are 1-2 ATS when favored by double digits against FBS schools, and that one cover was made possible by a defensive score. The Hokies have been equally helpless on offense, hitting the over just once this year. The good news for N.C. State is that they are 13-5 ATS under Dave Doeren following a bye week. However, the Wolfpack has lost five straight against Virginia Tech, last beating the Hokies in 2004.

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No. 14 Utah at Washington State

ATS Record: Utah 4-3, Washington State 4-3

O/U Record: Utah 5-2, Washington State 1-6

Utah is very much alive in the Pac-12 title race, although the Utes don’t have much margin for error, especially with Oregon still left on their schedule. They’ve also failed to cover their last two games, including a loss to UCLA as a road favorite. But the Utah offense is rolling, scoring at least 32 points in every game since the season opener. Washington State has been the complete opposite, holding every opponent but Oregon to 30 points or fewer and scoring just 24 total points in consecutive losses to USC and Oregon State. The Cougars have been underdogs in Pac-12 play three times this year, losing all three games and only beating the spread once. The Utes have also won their last three games against Washington State, all by at least nine points.

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Notre Dame at No. 16 Syracuse

ATS Record: Notre Dame 3-4, Syracuse 6-1

O/U Record: Notre Dame 2-5, Syracuse 2-5

Syracuse was close to winning at Clemson last week and is now 6-1 ATS, so there is no more reason to doubt that this is a quality team. It’s tough to say the same about Notre Dame the way their season has unfolded. To be fair, the Irish are 2-0 ATS as an underdog and did get a road win over an ACC team earlier this year, beating North Carolina. Both teams are a little better defensively than offensively, which could favor Syracuse, which is 6-0 ATS under Dino Babers when the over/under is between 42.5 and 49 points. Of course, Notre Dame has won four straight games against Syracuse, including three lopsided games under Babers. But the last time the Fighting Irish visited Syracuse, they lost 38-13.

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No. 2 Ohio State at No. 13 Penn State

ATS Record: Ohio State 4-2-1, Penn State 4-3

O/U Record: Ohio State 5-2, Penn State 5-2

The Nittany Lions bounced back from a loss to Michigan with a convincing win over Minnesota last week, keeping Penn State’s slim Big Ten title hopes alive. Of course, the Nittany Lions have lost nine of their last 10 games against Ohio State, so recent history isn’t on their side. The Buckeyes are even 4-1 in their last five trips to Happy Valley. The Buckeyes have also covered four of their last five games and have scored at least 45 points in every game but their season opener.

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No. 7 TCU at West Virginia

ATS Record: TCU 5-1-1, West Virginia 4-3

O/U Record: TCU 5-2, West Virginia 4-3

At 7-0, the Horned Frogs are the real deal, especially since their last four wins have come against teams that were ranked at the time. TCU even has three road wins this year, although the last two came by eight points or less. The Horned Frogs also have a troubling history when traveling to West Virginia. They’ve lost four straight games against the Mountaineers and lost their last three trips to Morgantown. Plus, the Mountaineers upset Baylor as home underdogs in their last home game.

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Florida at No. 1 Georgia

ATS Record: Florida 3-4, Georgia 4-3

O/U Record: Florida 4-3, Georgia 1-6

Even with the spread opening at over 20 points, this is still a big rivalry game. The Bulldogs have won four of the last five games in this series, including a 34-7 win last year, but an unranked Florida team did beat a top-10 Georgia team in 2014. The problem is the Gators are just 1-3 in SEC play this year. As for the Bulldogs, they’ve outscored Auburn and Vanderbilt 97-10 over their last two games after a close call with Missouri. Georgia is also 21-6 ATS under Kirby Smart when coming off a home win of 17 points or more.

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No. 8 Oregon at California

ATS Record: Oregon 5-2, California 4-3

O/U Record: Oregon 6-1, California 2-5

The Oregon team that lost to Georgia in the season opener would be unrecognizable compared to the Ducks we’ve seen lately. The Ducks have scored over 40 points in every other game and just beat a top-10 UCLA team by 15 points. Meanwhile, Cal has lost three of its last four. However, all three of their losses this year have hit the under, which Oregon has only done once this season. Under Justin Wilcox, the Golden Bears are also 23-10 ATS as an underdog. Also, keep in mind that the Ducks have lost two of their last three trips to Berkeley.

No. 9 Oklahoma State at No. 22 Kansas State

ATS Record: Oklahoma State 5-2, Kansas State 4-2-1

O/U Record: Oklahoma State 6-1, Kansas State 3-4

Kansas State’s Big 12 title hopes took a hit last week with a loss to TCU. Quarterback Adrian Martinez left that game early, so his status for this week’s game should be monitored closely. Meanwhile, the Cowboys bounced back from their loss to TCU with a win against Texas despite being a home underdog. Oklahoma State is now 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year. The Cowboys also have three straight wins against Kansas State and have won in two of their last three visits to the Little Apple.

No. 10 Wake Forest at Louisville

ATS Record: Wake Forest 6-1, Louisville 4-3

O/U Record: Wake Forest 3-4, Louisville 3-4

Wake Forest will need some help to win the ACC, but the Demon Deacons are in control of their own destiny with regard to a major bowl game. They are also 6-1 ATS, including 4-1 ATS as a favorite. But Louisville has quietly won three of four while two of the team’s losses have come by four points or less. The Cards are also 2-1 SU as underdogs this year. Also, Wake Forest coach Dave Clawson is just 3-5 against Louisville.

No. 17 Illinois at Nebraska

ATS Record: Illinois 5-2, Nebraska 2-5

O/U Record: Illinois 2-4-1, Nebraska 3-4

Illinois has been the biggest surprise in the Big Ten this year, and as the only team in the West Division with just one loss, the Fighting Illini have the inside track to the conference title game. They’ve also won their last two games against Nebraska despite losing six of seven against the Cornhuskers after Nebraska joined the Big Ten. The only caveat is that Illinois failed to cover in the only conference game it was favored while Nebraska is 1-1 ATS as an underdog.

No. 20 Cincinnati at UCF

ATS Record: Cincinnati 2-4-1, UCF 4-3

O/U Record: Cincinnati 4-3, UCF 2-5

While the Bearcats have been perfect since losing their season opener to Arkansas, they have failed to cover the spread or hit the over in their last three games. They’re also just 1-2 when playing UCF on the road since these two became AAC rivals, although the Bearcats did win when they visited Orlando two years ago. As for the Golden Knights, they’ve won their last three home games, although they have no margin for error if they hope to reach the AAC title game after losing to East Carolina last week.

Missouri at No. 25 South Carolina

ATS Record: Missouri 4-3, South Carolina 5-2

O/U Record: Missouri 1-6, South Carolina 4-3

The Gamecocks have been the biggest surprise in the SEC this year, sneaking into the Top 25 on the heels of four straight wins, including upsets of Kentucky and Texas A&M. While they’re back to being favorites this week, the Gamecocks are 3-0 ATS when they’ve been favored this year. Of course, this is their first time being favored against another power-conference team. South Carolina has also lost three straight games against Missouri in the battle for the Mayor’s Cup. As for the Tigers, they’re averaging just 16.4 points per game against power-conference opponents and haven’t even played the toughest part of their schedule with their next three games coming against ranked teams.

No. 10 USC at Arizona

ATS Record: USC 5-2, Arizona 4-3

O/U Record: USC 4-3, Arizona 6-1

The Trojans have had a week to think about their one-point loss to Utah a couple of weekends ago. The good news is Lincoln Riley’s team is still alive in the Pac-12 title race and should have an easy schedule until the final two weeks of the season. The Trojans are also facing an Arizona team that’s allowed 49 points in three of their four Pac-12 games. They are also aiming for their 10th straight head-to-head win over Arizona. In fairness, three of the last four games between these teams have been decided by seven points or fewer.

No. 19 Kentucky at No. 3 Tennessee

ATS Record: Kentucky 5-2, Tennessee 6-1

O/U Record: Kentucky 1-6, Tennessee 5-2

The Volunteers need to hold serve against their border rivals rather than look ahead at next week’s showdown with Georgia, which will likely decide the SEC East. This should be a clash between a great offense and a great defense. Tennessee has scored a minimum of 34 points in every game and is 5-2 O/U, while Kentucky has hit the over just once this year while holding every opponent to 24 points or fewer, including four opponents who have scored no more than 17 points. Historically, the Vols have owned this rivalry, although the Wildcats have stolen two wins in the last five years, including a 34-7 win during their last trip to Knoxville in 2020.

No. 15 Ole Miss at Texas A&M

ATS Record: Ole Miss 3-5, Texas A&M 3-4

O/U Record: Ole Miss 4-4, Texas A&M 2-5

It’s time for Lane Kiffin’s Ole Miss team to bounce back from its first loss of the season. The Rebels are now one of three teams in the SEC West with one conference loss, so there is no margin for error if they want to reach the conference title game. The high-scoring Rebels will also be facing one of the best defenses in the country, albeit one that’s 3-4 this year. While the Aggies have lost three in a row, all three came on the road. Texas A&M has won and covered in both home games against power-conference opponents this year.

Pitt at No. 21 North Carolina

ATS Record: Pitt 2-5, North Carolina 3-3-1

O/U Record: Pitt 5-3, North Carolina 4-3

On the heels of three straight wins, the 6-1 Tar Heels have entered the Top 25. They are now fully in control of the Coastal Division. In fairness, half of their wins have come by three points or fewer and four of their five wins over FBS schools have come by seven points or fewer. On the other side, Pitt is 25-15 ATS on the road under Pat Narduzzi. However, the Panthers are just 1-4 ATS against power-conference teams this year, and they haven’t won in Chapel Hill since joining the ACC.

Stanford at No. 12 UCLA

ATS Record: Stanford 2-5, UCLA 4-3

O/U Record: Stanford 3-4, UCLA 6-1

Chip Kelly’s Bruins lost to Oregon last week but are still in control of their own destiny as it pertains to the Pac-12 Championship Game. The Bruins have hit the over six times in seven games this year, which is good news with UCLA going 8-1 ATS under Kelly following two or more consecutive overs. The Bruins are also 3-1 ATS in conference play. The caveat is that while Stanford doesn’t score much, the Cardinal have held their last two opponents to just 14 points each with each of their last three games being decided by two points or fewer. Plus, UCLA hasn’t beaten Stanford at home since 2008 with the Cardinal winning six straight games against the Bruins in Pasadena.

MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR WEEK 9

BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best college football bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NFL game! Start your free trial today!