We're already getting close to the end of the college football season, but don't fret, as there is still plenty of money to be won. It's the money-making season here at BetQL, and we are going to continue to crush it. This week features several marquee matchups, and one of those is Alabama at Auburn. BetQL has you covered for everything college football, so let's dive right into this contest.
MORE: NCAAF PICKS | NCAAF PARLAYS
We're already getting close to the end of the college football season, but don't fret, as there is still plenty of money to be won. It's the money-making season here at BetQL, and we are going to continue to crush it. This week features several marquee matchups, and one of those is Alabama at Auburn. BetQL has you covered for everything college football, so let's dive right into this contest.
MORE: NCAAF PICKS | NCAAF PARLAYS
There was a lot of doubt placed on Nick Saban and the Tide after their loss to Texas early this season, and also by their poor performance against USF the next week. After that, many people jumped off the Alabama wagon and thought they were finished. Fast forward to Week 13, and the Tide find themselves fighting for a CFP spot with a 10-1 record. They have bounced back after that rough start and have been dominant for weeks, covering four straight games. They are coming off a blowout victory over Chattanooga, 66-10.
The offense has certainly had its ups and downs this year, with QB Joe Milroe receiving a lot of criticism, especially early in the year. However, it was clear after he got benched for that USF game that he was the best option for the position. He has responded to that benching and has been rolling ever since. They are 34th in yards per play, which isn't spectacular, but still pretty good. Their red-zone efficiency stands out, as they are ranked third in the country and converting at a 95% clip when they get down there.
The Alabama defense is still standing strong as they usually do, ranking 18th in the nation in yards per play given up. They have been excellent, and have been really good at preventing opponents from moving the chains. They rank 11th in first downs given up, allowing just 16 per game on average.
My goodness, that was a terrible loss for Auburn last week. Losing 31-10 to New Mexico State at home as a -25 favorite has to be one of the worst losses in the modern era for this Tigers team. It was even more surprising since they had won and covered in three straight, including a 48-10 blowout over Arkansas the week before. I'm not exactly sure what happened there, but it was just a really bad look for this team going into the Iron Bowl against a good Alabama team.
The offense for the Tigers hasn't been very good at all and has looked pretty lethargic for the majority of the season. They rank just 73rd in yards per play, part of the bottom half of the nation. QB Payton Thorne has not been up to the task of leading an SEC offense, and his team ranks 121st in the country in passing yards this season. He's struggled to get much going, and that was very obvious in their last game when they failed to get much going against a far less talented NMSU team.
The defense has had its issues, ranking 67th in yards per play, but it has also been successful in other areas. They are 17th in third down conversion percentage allowed, letting opponents convert just 30.9% of the time. They have a bend-but-don't-break defense that has allowed them to stay in some games they probably shouldn't have.
My Pick: Auburn +15 (-110, PointsBet)
This game tends to be closer than it probably should be, and I think that will be the case here. After that terrible loss to NMSU, everyone is low on the Tigers. However, I think they put up a fight here and keep this one within two touchdowns. I'll take the 15 points with the home team.