College Basketball Betting Guide: Lines, Trends & Picks For Tuesday, Dec. 13

Today's College Basketball Betting Lines, Odds & Picks

No. 4 Alabama, No. 5 Houston and No. 9 Arizona are all in action tonight. However, there are a few games that could fly under the radar but still present some good value. Let's take a look!

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Chicago State at Murray State Prediction

Murray State has had an up-and-down start to the season having lost to some bad teams and beaten some solid teams. Their biggest win of the year came against Texas A&M, who was ranked No. 24 at the time. The Racers just completed a two-game road trip and are now back at home where they are on an 18-game win streak. Statistically they are far better than Chicago State, which I think will lead them to an easy win. The Cougars have one of the worst assist-to-turnover ratios in the country at 0.73 and the third-worse adjusted defensive efficiency rating. With numbers like that, covering this spread is going to be tricky.  

My pick: Murray State -12

Citadel at North Carolina Prediction

This is a good spot for North Carolina to string together their second straight win after beating Georgia Tech on Saturday. They should be able to take down The Citadel relatively easily, but at -26.5, this spread is a little too rich for my blood. Instead of picking a side, I’ll target the over. The Tar Heels are putting up nearly 80 points per game and still have the 10th-best adjusted offensive efficiency per KenPom. With four players averaging double-figure scoring, they have a balanced offensive attack that should score with ease against a Bulldogs team that hasn’t had much success limiting Power 5 opponents. I foresee The Citadel scoring in the 60s and UNC taking this the rest of the way with a big night offensively.

My pick: Citadel at UNC Over 144.5

UMass Lowell at Rhode Island Prediction

UMass Lowell, the best team in the America East Conference, is only a 1.5-point favorite over Rhode Island, the worst team in the A10? Hmm, something doesn’t seem right there. The River Hawks are 11-1 on the season and 5-1 on the road while the Rams are just 3-7 and 2-4 at home. Their records tell a good story, but a quick glance at their most basic stats is further proof that this line is wrong. UMass Lowell is averaging 17.4 more points than the Rams while also allowing opponents 4.5 points fewer than Rhode Island. The River Hawks are also shooting much better from the field and are averaging more assists, rebounds, blocks and steals. I get that they're on the road and the A10 is the stronger conference, but unless I’m missing something major, this line doesn't make sense. 

My pick: UMass Lowell -1.5

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Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best college basketball bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NFL, NBA, NHL and college football game this week! Start your free trial today!