BetQL Editors' NBA Picks For Christmas Day Slate

Today's NBA Best Bets

Another day of NBA action means another day of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets today, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NBA bets below using key trends, data and picks from the BetQL NBA model.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model is on fire, going 327-197 (63%) on all NBA picks rated ⭐⭐⭐⭐ and higher since the season started for a total return of $1,230 on $100 bets! Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL, and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!

Dan Karpuc: LeBron James Over 29.5 Points at Mavericks
I surprisingly don’t love any sides or totals on Christmas Day, so I’m going to go with a player prop instead. LeBron James is the NBA’s all-time leading scorer on Christmas Day, and he has been recording 30-plus points routinely with Anthony Davis out due to injury. He put on a Christmas show with 39 points against the Nets in front of the primetime audience last year and will undoubtedly want to outperform Luka Doncic in this matchup. In eight meetings against Doncic in his career, King James has averaged 27.1 points with a high of 39 and I expect him to keep delivering just like he has throughout his historic career. Give me LeBron over 29.5 points.

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Kate Constable: Bucks +4 at Celtics

If you asked me a few weeks ago who I liked in this matchup, I probably would have told you the Celtics. But Boston is slumping and Milwaukee is looking like a pretty dangerous team. Are they as dangerous as the Celtics have been? The jury is still out on that one. These two teams played on Christmas Day last season with Milwaukee winning, 117-113, at home. And while the Bucks are on the road this season, I still think they're capable of covering as four-point underdogs.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been playing some of the best basketball of his career and the Celtics' frontcourt is going to have a hard time slowing him down, even with Robert Williams back in the mix. Boston's two recent losses to the Orlando Magic are also proof that the Celtics are still human and they're capable of having a few off nights. I think the Celtics ultimately win at home, but the Bucks get the cover.

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Brad Pinkerton: BetMGM NBA OGP Insurance Play of the Day

If you're not playing BetMGM's NBA OGP Insurance promo yet, you're leaving money on the table. Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) NBA one-game parlay; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NBA game!

Here is my play for today, using the strategy of "middling" the game total (can only lose a maximum of one leg there), and taking the most points on both teams (can only lose one leg here too); you can apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night:

PHX-DEN Over 220.5
PHX-DEN Under 240.5
Suns +12.5
Nuggets +7.5
OGP odds: +270

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MORE NBA: CHRISTMAS DAY BETTING GUIDE | CHRISTMAS DAY BETTING TRENDS

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!