NBA Best Bets: BetQL Staff Picks For Monday, April 25
Find out which bets we’re targeting for today's NBA playoff games
Brad Pinkerton - Apr 25, 2022, 1:44pm EDTMonday's Best NBA Bets
Dan Karpuc: Jazz-Mavericks Under 213
In Luka Doncic’s return, the Jazz pulled off a 100-99 win, easily finishing under the 214-point total. Now the series is tied 2-2 and will head back to Dallas, where the under has gone 30-12-1 (71.4%) this season. That’s the highest rate in the NBA by a huge margin. Meanwhile, the under has gone 25-17-1 in Utah’s road games this season and that 59.5% under rate ranks second in the NBA. These two teams have played at the slowest pace of any playoff series (91.00), per NBA.com, which isn’t much of a surprise since the Mavs ranked dead-last in pace during the regular season while the Jazz ranked 23rd. With Doncic back, I expect the Mavs to play at a very methodological, half-court tempo on offense and to continuously get set on the defensive end.
Matt Horner: Raptors +7.5 at 76ers
Doc Rivers with a 3-1 lead? Say no more, fam. This guy couldn't finish off a series that he's up big to save his life, and this is just another nightmare scenario for him. Scottie Barnes is back, but it looks like Fred VanVleet may be absent for this contest back in Philly. While his offense will be missed, he is a defensive liability, so I'm not sure it's that huge of a deal. Sixers Star Joel Embiid is still dealing with a thumb injury that will require surgery, and you could tell it was bothering him in Game 4 with his far below average shooting. Philadelphia might win and advance, but I'll take the +7.5 all day with Toronto. Rivers is far too unreliable in these situations to trust.
Lucy Burdge: Celtics +1 at Nets
Ben Simmons being ruled out for Game 4 was just the nail in the coffin for the Nets, who have been destroyed by the Celtics. Bury them now. Kyrie Irving had 39 points in Game 1, but then 10 in Game 2 and 16 in Game 3. That drop off is tough to ignore. And the Celtics are rolling at the exact right time. Plus, a BetQL trend favoring the Celtics here is that the team is 10-0 ATS on the road against teams with winning records in the second half of the season. Considering all of this, I’m confident the Celtics can cover this spread tonight.
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Nick Ashooh: Celtics -105 ML at Nets
The Nets are done, plain and simple. They look frustrated and defeated, and when Kyrie Irving is talking about them still "gelling," it's clear they have no confidence in themselves either. Forget any trends or stats, just look at what we see on the court. This is a team that has no chemistry, Kevin Durant looks like a shadow of himself, while the Celtics look like a team that could win it all. Boston looks ready to put the Nets out of their misery tonight and then we can all finally move on from this debacle of a season in Brooklyn.
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