NBA Playoffs: Betting Playbook for Monday, April 25

NBA betting odds, trends and picks to know for today's playoff games

NBA Betting Playbook for Monday

Monday's NBA trends are collected and ready to go. Let's take a look at what you should know before betting today's NBA playoff slate.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has gone 15-6 (72%) on O/U picks rated ⭐⭐⭐ and higher in the past 14 days for a total return of $764 on $100 bets. BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Click below to sign up for a BetQL Day Pass!

Odds in this article are subject to change. Check the latest NBA betting lines here: Latest NBA Odds | Latest Over/Under | Expert NBA picks

Celtics at Nets (-1), O/U 220

This season has been a disaster for the Nets, and it doesn't show any signs of getting better at this point. The Celtics are on the verge of a sweep, and what was once targeted as the Ben Simmons debut, is now just another game where Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving will try to find themselves.

The Celtics are 16-4 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record this season, and even though every win so far for Boston has been single-digits, each game has felt farther and farther away from being competitive while watching the Nets struggle.

Durant is averaging just 22.0 points per game in the series on 36.5-percent shooting to go along with 17 turnovers in the three games, while Irving is putting up just 21.7 points shooting just 33 percent from 3.

The Nets look ready for vacation, while the Celtics are clearly built to get to the NBA Finals with the way they're playing on both ends of the court, and it sure is hard to lean anywhere other than a Boston win and sweep tonight.

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Nets to Win and 220+ Points Scored (+290)
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Raptors at 76ers (-8), O/U 209.5

The biggest question here will continue to be around Joel Embiid's pain tolerance. That injured thumb clearly was an issue last game, especially early on, and the Sixers will need at least a decent outing from the MVP candidate if they want to close out this series tonight.

Toronto got 34 points from Pascal Siakam in their Game 4 win, while Embiid shot just 7-for-16 from the field with 21 points.

The Raptors are 30-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season, and have shown a fight with their backs against the wall. And they clearly hope to take advantage of the Embiid injury again.

To make things more difficult for the Raptors, though, Fred VanVleet is out with a strained hip flexor, and even though the Raptors are 23-14 ATS on the road this year, it'll be a tall task to overcome the loss of VanVleet and win on the road to keep their season alive.

Toronto certainly has a chance to cover here, but it's hard to see them winning outright.

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Jazz at Mavericks (-3), O/U 212.5

We're now in a best-of-three series with things locked up 2-2 between these teams. Getting 30 points and 10 boards from Luka Doncic in his return in Game 4 was obviously important for the Mavs, but Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell spoiled that with their game-winning alley-oop with 11.0 seconds left.

Dallas sits -150 on the moneyline, and Jason Kidd is 14-0 SU as a home favorite of -250 or less this year in his first year coaching Dallas. The Mavs continue to be a strong under bet, just 9-20 O/U this year at home, and are 3-1 ATS in this series as well.

I'm leaning towards the under again here with two of the four games already doing just that.

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BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including NBA player props, with star ratings for every game. Click below to sign up for a BetQL Day Pass!

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