NBA Betting Guide: Lines, Trends & Picks For Monday, Nov. 28

NBA Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Monday

The NBA kicks off a new work week with a Monday's 10-game slate. The biggest matchup of the day is likely the Suns vs. Kings, meaning we’re left with a number of games that should see some lopsided scores. Scroll down to see where I think we can find a little value tonight and for our model's best bets, sharp picks, and top trends. 

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has been on fire in the first month of the season, going 539-365 (60%) on all picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher in the past 30 days for a total return of $3,519 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL, and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!

Hornets at Celtics Prediction

The Charlotte Hornets (6-14 SU, 9-10-1 ATS, 9-11 O/U) travel north to face the Boston Celtics (16-4 SU, 11-8-1 ATS, 10-10 O/U) on Monday at TD Garden. 

This feels like a smash spot for the Celtics and the BetQL model seems to agree with me. Yes, the Celtics played last night, beating Washington 130-121 at home, but Jaylen Brown was the only starter to play up to 34 minutes; Marcus Smart only saw 27 minutes while Al Horford only played 26. Jayson Tatum also didn’t play yesterday, so he should come into this contest fully rested. This should be an easy win for Boston, which is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS at home this season and owns the league's best offense. 

The Hornets haven’t played since Nov. 25th, so while they have the advantage of extra rest, they’re likely to be a little rusty not having played in four days. Charlotte’s defense has picked up over their last five games, but they faced three bottom-10 offenses in that span. The Hornets also do a lot of their scoring on second-chance points and points off of turnovers, but unfortunately for them, the Celtics are a top-10 team in defensive rebounding and turnovers. There should be plenty of buzz in this game, it just won’t be coming from the Hornets.

My Lean: Celtics -10.5

Magic at Nets Prediction

The Brooklyn Nets (10-11 SU, 10-11 ATS, 9-12 O/U) welcome the Orlando Magic (5-15 SU, 9-9-2 ATS, 9-11 O/U) to town on Monday with both teams coming into the game without any rest. 

Like the Celtics, the Nets are also double-digit favorites tonight against the Magic. However, unlike the Celtics, I don’t like Brooklyn to cover this big number. The Nets beat Portland at home last night and have now won three of their last five games. While their offense has been clicking, their defense isn’t anything to write home about. 

The Magic also played last night and got blown out on their home floor by the 76ers. They have a disadvantage entering tonight’s game being they had to travel after the game, while the Nets were able to stay home. However, the Magic are 2-0 against the spread on no rest and have a young roster that can withstand back-to-back games better than most teams. Orlando has lost its last four games and is going to be motivated and hungry for a win. Plus, we’ve seen the Nets rest players on multiple occasions this season in the second game of a back-to-back, so that could be the case again tonight. 

My Lean: Magic +10.5

Rockets at Nuggets Prediction

The Houston Rockets (5-13 SU, 10-7-1 ATS, 9-9 O/U) and Denver Nuggets (11-7 SU, 9-9 ATS, 8-10 O/U) will meet for the first time this season on Monday in the Mile High City. 

The total in this game stands out to me as a bit too low. Neither team is particularly good on the defensive side of the ball as they both rank in the bottom six in the league in that category. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a top-six team in offensive rating and are averaging 117 points over their last three games. Denver will likely be without Michael Porter Jr. tonight, but that doesn’t concern me too much because the Nuggets have plenty of players who can step up in the scoring department. If anything, I wish he was playing tonight solely so Houston could take advantage of his poor defense. 

Houston plays at an extremely fast pace and has had success scoring against teams with much better defenses than Denver's. The Rockets are also the best offensive-rebounding team in the league, so they should be able to get a number of second-chance points and extra possessions, which is something I like to look at when betting overs. I think this game gets pushed into the low 230s. 

My Lean: Over 228.5

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