NBA Betting Guide: Lines, Trends & Picks For Tuesday, Nov. 29

NBA Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Tuesday

Tuesday brings a very small NBA slate with only three games being played tonight. The marquee matchup of the night is a rematch of last season's Western Conference Finals between the Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors. Scroll down to see where I think we can find some value in that game. 

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has been on fire in the first month of the season, going 539-365 (60%) on all picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher in the past 30 days for a total return of $3,519 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.

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Warriors at Mavericks Preview

The Golden State Warriors (11-10 SU, 9-12 ATS, 12-8-1 O/U) hit the road to take on the Dallas Mavericks (8-10 SU, 3-15 ATS, 10-8 O/U) tonight at American Airlines Arena. This is the first time these two teams have met since the Warriors beat the Mavs in the Western Conference Finals last season.

The last five games for the Warriors and Mavericks have looked drastically different. Golden State has won four of their last five and things finally seem to be clicking for them after Steve Kerr made a few changes to his rotations. This has caused the Warriors to be much more effective on both sides of the floor, but especially on the defensive end where they’re finally starting to look like the defensive juggernaut that we saw last season. 

On the other hand, the Mavs have lost four straight and return home after a lengthy road trip. When teams are in this situation, I like to play against them early because they often look a little sluggish in their first game back on their home floor. Plus, I could see the Warriors wanting to blitz Dallas early and make Luka Doncic have to play from behind in this one. 

My lean: Warriors 1Q ML

Clippers at Trail Blazers Preview 

The Los Angeles Clippers (11-9 SU, 10-10 ATS, 5-15 O/U) travel north to take on the Portland Trail Blazers (11-9 SU, 13-7 ATS, 8-11-1 O/U) in a Western Conference matchup. 

I’m going to take the same theory I used in the Warriors/Mavs game and apply it to the first-quarter spread in this game. Portland is returning home after a four-game East Coast road trip. So, not only have they been traveling, but they had to cross three time zones when coming home. I don’t know about you, but I’d be ready for a nap after all of that.

That definitely gives the Clippers an edge early in this game because their commute from LA is fairly short and simple. They’ve also played their last two games at home, so travel fatigue isn’t much of a factor for them this week. Plus, if you’re someone that likes to look at trends, Portland is 3-5 ATS in the first quarter at home this season while the Clippers are 5-3-1 ATS in the first quarter on the road. 

My lean: Clippers 1Q +1.5

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