NBA Betting Guide: NBA Odds, Best Bets For Thursday, March 23
NBA odds, best bets & trends for today's games
Kate Constable - Mar 23, 2023, 10:36am EDT
NBA Betting Odds, Best Bets
After a huge NBA slate on Wednesday, we only have four games to choose from today. These games don’t offer the most interesting matchups, but there is still plenty of value to be found in these lines. BetQL is here to help you make smart, informed bets with live NBA betting odds, best bets from our model, sharp picks, public bets, line movement data, exclusive NBA articles and much more to help you cash tonight!
Speaking of cashing, the BetQL model has hit 58% of all its NBA bets in the last 30 days for a total return of $2,639 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see all of today's best bets, including NBA player props, plus game projections, betting trends and more!
BetQL's NBA Model has been on fire lately! Try us out for FREE for three days!
NBA Best Bet From BetQL: Thunder +4 vs. Clippers (-110, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
The Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder meet for the second time in the last three days with both games being played at crypto.com Arena. The Thunder earned a one-point victory on Tuesday despite being a 6.5-point underdog. Backing OKC again tonight is our model’s favorite ATS play. It has the Thunder priced at +1.5 points, which is a 2.5-point difference from the current line, giving us plenty of value in backing the underdog to cover.
Clippers star Paul George left Tuesday’s game after suffering what appeared to be a pretty serious knee injury and will be out a few weeks. Without George and Norman Powell, who also remains out with injury, the Clippers offense is going to take a hit. That’s far from ideal against an OKC defense that ranks fourth in defensive rating over the last 10 days and just held the Clippers to 100 points on Tuesday. The Thunder are 3-0 against this L.A. team this season and they can certainly cover this spread.
Top NBA Player Prop
Knicks F Julius Randle o8.5 rebounds (+115, DraftKings)
After a massive 57-point performance against the Timberwolves on Monday, Julius Randle followed it up with a mediocre 15 points in the Knicks’ loss to the Miami Heat last night. Our model likes Randle to bounce back with another big night tonight, but in the rebound department. The Knicks play in Orlando tonight, and while they're on a back-to-back, there is very little travel involved going from Miami to Orlando, so I don’t expect that to be too much of a negative factor tonight. Randel’s rebound prop is at 8.5 and taking the over gives you a nice plus-money payout on DraftKings. He’s only gone over this number four times in March, but has finished with eight in four other games. I like the over tonight because of how Randle has played against the Magic this season; in two meetings, he’s recorded 12 and 14 boards. Grab this prop for +115 at DK, along with a great welcome offer below that you could use to bet this for FREE!
Best Sportsbook Offers & NBA Promos
College basketball is probably going to get all the attention from sportsbooks with their odds boosts and promos tonight, but here's a play for one of our favorite daily NBA promos at BetMGM (we'll update if anyone drops a good NBA boost, though):
BetMGM NBA One-Game Parlay Insurance Play of the Day: Cavs-Nets +400 OGP
Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) NBA one-game parlay with at least +400 odds; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NBA game!
We've already hit several of these using the strategy of "middling" the alt total and alt spreads for each team to increase our chances of getting the insurance if the OGP doesn't hit. Also, DO NOT play these OGPs without the promo, as the insurance is the only reason these bets are valuable over time. Here is my play for today. You can adjust each leg to your liking and apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night:
Cavs-Nets o209.5
Cavs-Nets u228.5
Cavs +1.5
Nets +12.5
OGP odds: +400
Join BetMGM to start taking advantage of their daily OGP insurance promos across NBA, NHL and EPL/UCL. New BetMGM customers also get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000 using the offer below!
NBA Betting Trends For The Win
Not only does the BetQL model find the most valuable NBA bets every day, but it also finds some fantastic betting trends to help you make more informed bets. Whether that be a situational trend, an historical trend or a coaching trend, we have something for every game that shows why a team might be valuable that night. Here are tonight's top NBA betting trends:
- Thunder-Clippers: The Thunder are 15-2 ATS and 14-4 SU versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season.
- Knicks-Magic: The Knicks are 6-3-2 ATS when playing on no rest this season. Tom Thibodeau is also 28-9 ATS in the first half when playing on back-to-back days while coaching New York.
- Hornets-Pelicans: The New Orleans Pelicans are 11-1 SU when playing against teams with a winning percentage of 25% to 40% this season. They are also 17-6 ATS in the first half versus poor defensive teams allowing 116+ points per game this season.
- Cavaliers-Nets: J.B. Bickerstaff is 21-15 SU after a win by 6 points or less while coaching Cleveland.
A new section of our site highlights bets that check the most boxes when it comes to four categories: BetQL Model projections, BetQL Community picks, Sharp Betting data, "Fade the Public" data. Check out which bets are checking the most boxes today!
MORE: SEE ALL NBA TRENDING BETS NOW
BetQL members see betting trends and best bets for every game! Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, soccer and NCAA basketball game this week! Start your free trial today!
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