English Premier League
Parlays are one of the most popular bet types. Not only can they be a way to chase long odds with a higher potential payout, but they can also be a way to target moneylines that you wouldn’t normally go after. Below, you’ll see exactly what I mean when I discuss today’s NBA, NCAAB and NHL three-legger.
On DraftKings, I got +1002 odds (9.07% implied probability) on the Sacramento Kings to beat the Minnesota Timberwolves, South Dakota State to beat Kansas City and the St. Louis Blues to beat the Winnipeg Jets. Per BetQL, this parlay should have +526 odds (a 15.98% implied probability to win). Therefore, there's a lot of value here. Let's explore each leg below.
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NBA: Kings at Timberwolves (-110)
BetQL is giving the Kings a 69.05% chance to beat the Timberwolves on Monday night, -223 implied odds. Therefore, the -110 odds you can get on this leg are a bargain. Sacramento lost this exact matchup by the score of 117-110 last time out, but they had won three in a row on the road before that (and four out of five). Rudy Gobert is banged up with a sore right groin and if he sits, this becomes an even better play.
NCAAB: South Dakota State at Kansas City (+110)
The model is giving South Dakota State a 53.28% chance to beat Kansas City tonight, -114 implied odds which makes the plus-money on this leg a solid little value. Here are some crazy trends to take note of. Under coach Eric Henderson, South Dakota State has gone 16-1 SU (+15.8 units, 71.8% ROI) after playing a game as a road favorite, 15-2 SU (+14.9 units, 64.8% ROI) after allowing 80-plus points in their last game, 9-1 SU (+8.8 units, 51.8% ROI) after failing to cover the spread in two-plus consecutive games and 8-1 SU (+7.8 units, 78% ROI) coming off an upset loss as a favorite. Based on trends alone this is a play to consider, but the model is also on it.
NHL Blues at Jets (+175)
The data suggests that the Blues have a 43.43% chance to win this game, +130 implied odds. Therefore, the +175 odds that DraftKings is offering are longer than they should be.
Want to take advantage of these +1002 odds now? Let’s do it!