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Point guard Jrue Holiday is now back for the Bucks, which means I’m going to start backing them again. Milwaukee has gone 24-10 with him and just 4-9 without him on the court this season. Out of those 24 victories, 15 of them were by double digits. BetQL is projecting an 11-point Milwaukee win since the Bulls are also without Lonzo Ball (knee) and Zach LaVine (knee). Also, under Mike Budenholzer, the Bucks have gone an incredible 40-13 ATS versus Central Division opponents. These factors make me even more confident and I expanded on this particular bet in my daily best bet article.
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The Thunder have trended toward the under all season, going 18-26 O/U overall and 9-13 on the road. They have also gone under in their last two games, both on the road with totals lower than tonight's. While Charlotte had been easily sailing over totals earlier this season, the Hornets have now gone over just three times in their last 13 games. In fact, they have been an average of 21.7 points below the total in their last five unders, and I'm expecting another under tonight between these two teams.
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The Hawks have covered and won outright in their last two games, and they are 16-5 ATS versus teams attempting 24 or fewer free throws per game in the second half of the season while at home over the last two years. So I think the Hawks can cover this spread tonight.
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Memphis has the best road record against the spread at 15-6, and has won outright in 12 of the last 14 games overall (11-3 ATS). Even with two losses in their last three games, the Grizz are still one of the hottest teams in the NBA.
Yes, Denver is coming off an overtime win against the Clippers that saw Nikola Jokic rack up a massive 49-point triple-double, which was his third straight, and 10th of the season, but let's not forget the run Memphis has been on recently, having covered in six of their last seven road games.
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