NBA Best Bets For Thursday, March 2

Today's NBA Best Bets

Plenty of NBA action today, which means another day of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets today, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NBA bets below using key trends, data and picks from the BetQL NBA model.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA Model is on fire since the All-Star break, going 186-120 (61%) on all picks in the last seven days for a quick $1,941 return on $100 bets! Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's NBA best bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NHL, soccer and NCAA basketball games! Start your free trial today!

Kate Constable: Pacers -4.5 at Spurs

The Spurs are in full tank mode in pursuit of the No. 1-overall draft pick, and they’re proving to be really good at it! It’s clear that they have no desire to win basketball games, which is why I’m going to lay the -5 with Indiana on the road. San Antonio has failed to cover in 14 of its last 16 games overall and six of its last eight home games. I wish I had more of an intricate handicap, but this is just one of those “don’t overthink it” plays. Lay the points with the Pacers!

Lucy Burdge: Pacers -4.5 at Spurs

The Pacers have covered in their last four games to bring them to 34-29 ATS on the season. They have also covered in four of the last six meetings with the Spurs. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 25-37 ATS this season, including 23-36 ATS as the underdog, but that does tell the whole story of how bad they've been lately. San Antonio has covered just two times in its last 16 games! So, I like the Pacers to cover this spread tonight and you can still get -4.5 for -115 at BetMGM, along with an awesome welcome bonus!

Dan Karpuc: Raptors -2 at Wizards

Toronto has gone 45-28 ATS after a win by six points or fewer, and 75-56 ATS after scoring 105 points or fewer under coach Nick Nurse. The Raptors have also won five of their last six (three of their last four on the road), while the Wizards have gone 3-5 SU (3-5 ATS) in their last eight home games. There’s no question that the Raptors have underachieved this year, but I think they actually have a bit of upside and might be able to pull off a playoff upset depending on their first-round matchup. I’m giving Toronto the edge in this matchup, and you can get Raptors -2 (-108) at BetRivers, along with a great welcome offer below!

Brad Pinkerton: Raptors-Wizards +400 One-Game Parlay

BetMGM NBA OGP Insurance Play of the Day

If you're not playing BetMGM's NBA OGP Insurance promo yet, you're leaving money on the table. Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) NBA one-game parlay with at least +400 odds; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NBA game!

The new +400 odds requirement makes this much harder, but we've hit a couple of these already using the strategy of "middling" the alt total and alt spreads for each team to increase our chances of getting the insurance if the OGP doesn't hit. Also, DO NOT play these OGPs without the promo, as the insurance is the only reason these bets are valuable over time.

Here is my play for today. You can adjust each leg to your liking and apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night.

Raptors-Wizards o212.5
Raptors-Wizards u230.5
Raptors +6.5
Wizards +7.5
OGP odds: +400

Join BetMGM to start taking advantage of their daily OGP insurance promos across NBA, NHL and EPL/UCL. New BetMGM customers also get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000 using the offer below!

MORE NBA: TODAY’S BETTING GUIDE | TOP PLAYER PROPS

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NHL, soccer and NCAA basketball game this week! Start your free trial today!