Picks of the Day for Friday, July 9th

BetQL's best MLB bet and odds boost for today's action

By BetQL Staff - Jul 9, 2021, 11:15am EDT

MLB: Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

BetQL’s MLB Model has a play on the Reds today. The model projects this line to be Cincinnati -100, so it sees value on the Reds at +105.

Wade Miley (6-4, 3.06 ERA) gets the ball for Cincy against Milwaukee's Eric Lauer (3-3, 4.11 ERA) later today.

Miley is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 37 strikeouts, and 11 walks over 42 innings on the road this season. Against the Brewers over his career, he is 3-2 with a 5.92 ERA, 1.421 WHIP, 29 strikeouts, and 11 walks over 38 innings. And, at American Family Field, Miley has 11 career starts and is 3-2 with a 4.93 ERA, 1.467 WHIP, 35 strikeouts, and 13 walks over 45.2 innings.

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Lauer gets the nod on the other side of the hill for the Brew Crew. He is 2-2 with a 5.00 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 27 strikeouts, and 11 walks over 27 innings, and five starts. Lauer makes his eighth career appearance (seventh start) against Cincinnati, in which he has gone 1-3 with a 4.80 ERA, 1.633 WHIP, 33 strikeouts, and 20 walks over 30 innings.

For today's best bet, we agree with the model and will be making a play on Reds moneyline. Lauer hasn't been great pitching at home or against the Reds, which means Cincinnati should be able to rack up some runs early in this matchup.

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