The Houston Astros (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Saturday with first pitch scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET. The Astros are betting favorites with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155) and the Over/Under at 7 total runs. So far this season, the Astros are 108-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 86-80 ATS.
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
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Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 87-77 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 5.92% ROI).
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 86-80 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -2.77% ROI).
Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (18/157) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (53/357) against Lance McCullers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 80% of the time (1,403/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has walked 61 of 431 left-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .381 (67 GB hits out of 176 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a BABIP of .387 against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .295 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .312 (65-for-208) against George Kirby’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 53% (34/64) against George Kirby on the first pitch of at-bats — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros are 51-30 (.630) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Astros are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 47-5 (.904) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners are 69-2 (.972) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Mariners are 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 46-37 (.554) on the road this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Mariners are 47-10 (.825) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros hitters have just 321 strikeouts in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% against Astros pitchers this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
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