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Below, you’ll see a breakdown for some of today's most intriguing MLB games from a betting perspective, more MLB expert picks from the BetQL Editorial Team, sleeper picks to consider as well as some epic sportsbook promotions to cash in on. Scroll down to get started or click on any of the links below to head to a specific section.
Braves -2.5 Runs at Athletics (+105, BetMGM)
The Braves (32-21) have outscored their opponents by 62 runs so far this season, the best run differential in the National League and the third-best in the Majors. Meanwhile, the Athletics (10-45) somehow already have a -199 run differential, the worst mark in MLB by 123 runs. You read that correctly: 123. Oakland is 20-35 versus the run line overall, including 10-18 at home and even though the Braves have gone 22-31 against the run line, Atlanta has gone 15-9 versus the run line on the road. Just how awful is this A’s team? Their 45th loss confirmed that they will have the most losses before June in MLB history. Coming off a 10-1 loss yesterday, the Athletics have been swept in eight different series so far this year and are on pace to go a hilarious 29-133, which would crush the current record of 120 losses.
Per Ralph Michaels, the Athletics have gone 0-21 SU this season as an underdog of +195 or above. The average score in those games has been 8.1 to 2.4. The rest of the MLB this season has gone 13-33 (28.3%) in that scenario with an average score of 5.1 to 3.0. That’s how awful this Oakland team is. You can get the Braves at -1.5 versus the run line, but they’re juiced up heavily like they should be. Instead, I’ll take them -2.5 at plus-money.
Oakland’s bullpen has a 6.50 ERA (1.33 runs higher than the next-worst team) and has allowed 37 home runs (eight more than any other club). Right-hander Paul Blackburn will make his MLB debut for the A’s today and his career 5.09 ERA tells the story of what we should expect to see. Not only that, but in six minor league starts this season, this is his pitching line: 18.0 IP, 33 H, 15 ER, 10 K, 6 BB. Ronald Acuna, Matt Olson, Austin Riley, Sean Murphy, Ozzie Albies and company should feast and put up crooked numbers and just put up 11 runs against the Phillies yesterday, so they should be coming into this one with confidence.
The big news for this game, though, is the return of Mike Soroka for Atlanta. The former Braves ace hasn’t pitched in the Majors since 2020 due to injuries, but has a 2.86 career ERA through 37 Big League starts. He’s been putting in work at the Triple-A level this season and facing off against this Oakland offense might be an easier feat. All joking aside, he shouldn’t have to do too much to give his team a chance to win in this one, so if he gives them five quality innings, we should be in good shape.
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Looking for MBL expert picks for the 2023 MLB season? Look no further! At BetQL, our team of MLB experts is dedicated to providing you with the most accurate and insightful MLB betting picks. With the help of our cutting-edge BetQL tools and their own extensive research, our experts identify the best MLB value plays every day. Get ready to elevate your MLB betting experience with our comprehensive range of expert picks, including moneyline bets, run line bets, over/under (total) bets, and player props.
When it comes to MLB betting, moneyline bets are a fan favorite. It's a straightforward bet where you simply choose the team you believe will win the game outright. In MLB moneyline betting, the favorite is represented by a negative number (e.g., -200), indicating the amount you need to bet to win $100. On the other hand, the underdog is represented by a positive number (e.g., +500), indicating the potential winnings on a $100 bet. Our MLB experts utilize BetQL's MLB model to provide you with well-informed MLB moneyline bets that maximize your chances of success.
Betting against the spread, also known as the Run Line (RL), is a highly popular MLB betting strategy. In MLB run line betting, the favored team is listed with a negative number (e.g., -1.5), indicating the number of runs they need to win by. The underdogs are listed with a positive number (e.g., +1.5), which means they can either lose by a run or win the game outright for your run line bet to be successful. Unlike other sports, MLB games cannot end in a tie, eliminating the possibility of a "push." Rely on our MLB experts to guide you with their carefully crafted run line bets.
If you enjoy predicting the total number of runs scored in a game, then over/under (total) bets are perfect for you. In MLB, game totals usually range from six to 13 runs. A "push" occurs when the total points scored in the game exactly matches the specified total. You can also explore MLB team total betting, which focuses on predicting the total points scored by a specific team. Additionally, delve into MLB first five innings (F5) totals or MLB first half over/unders, which predict the total points scored in the first five innings of a game. To enhance your chances of success, our experts have developed value models specifically designed to identify MLB games with the most value for spread bets, moneyline bets and totals.
For those seeking early-game action, MLB first-five betting is ideal. You can place moneyline bets or run line bets specifically for the first five innings of a game. Typically, first five innings moneyline bets offer lower odds compared to full-game moneylines. This type of betting is popular among bettors targeting heavily favored teams in matchups. Don't underestimate underdogs, especially home teams that tend to perform well in front of their fans before talent takes hold in the later innings. Our experts provide valuable insights to help you make informed decisions for MLB first five innings bets.
Looking for a more individualized betting experience? Player props allow you to wager on the performance of specific players in an MLB game. Whether it's hitting home runs, getting RBIs, stealing bases, or achieving other milestones, player props offer a wide variety of betting options. You can also bet on pitchers, such as predicting their wins, strikeouts, runs conceded, and more. Every game offers a myriad of player prop bets, so explore the options available at your favorite bookmaker.
Remember to visit us daily to discover new MLB expert picks that will help you beat the books. Evaluate the options and decide for yourself whether they're worth a play. With our MLB expert picks, you'll stay ahead of the game and make well-informed decisions for MLB betting.