MLB Betting Guide: MLB Odds, Best Bets For Tuesday, April 4
MLB odds, best bets & trends for today's games
Matthew Horner - Apr 4, 2023, 1:38pm EDT
MLB Betting Odds, Best Bets
Today, we have a massive 14-game slate in MLB that is sure to include some fantastic matchups to take advantage of, including Cubs vs. Reds and Phillies vs. Yankees. The BetQL model sees a lot of value today on the diamond, so let's dive in!
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MLB Best Bet From BetQL
Reds ML vs. Cubs ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (+115, Bet365 & WynnBet)
Today, the BetQL model is giving us a great plus-money bet on the Cincinnati Reds to take care of business at home against the Chicago Cubs as a 5-star value. Let’s be real here, neither one of these teams is that great, although the Cubs came into the season with some sleeper potential. They have underwhelmed so far to say the least, starting the season 1-3 after taking a loss yesterday to this same Reds club. Meanwhile, the opposite can be said for Cincy, which has jumped out to a 3-1 start to the year.
The Cubs will be sending out young hurler Hayden Wesneski to the mound in this one, and he was great in his limited appearances on the hill in 2022, going 3-2 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 33 innings of work. He took on the Reds twice last year, going 1-1 with a 0.82 ERA in 11 innings against them.
The Reds will look to veteran Luis Cessa to shut down the Cubbies today. Cessa is a relief pitcher that was forced into a starters role last season due to injuries, and it wasn’t very pretty for the 30-year-old. He finished 2022 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 80.2 innings pitched. Against the Cubs, he had a massive 5.14 ERA in 14 innings of work, allowing 10 hits and three homers in that span.
Top MLB Player Prop
Diamondbacks SP Zac Gallen o1.5 ER vs. Padres (-155, DraftKings)
I like Gallen a lot, and he has been a great pitcher over the past few years, but he faces a tough matchup today in San Diego. The Padres are looking to get to .500, and their bats seem to have awakened after a sluggish start. They have one of the best lineups in all of baseball, and if they put things together, they are very dangerous.
Meanwhile, Gallen was lit up like a Christmas tree in his first game against the Dodgers, who also have an elite lineup. He went just 4.2 innings and allowed five ER on six hits with three walks. It was a terrible performance out of the Diamondbacks ace, and while I think he will bounce back this season, I don’t like this matchup for him on the road today. All he needs to do is give up two earned runs, and we cash.
Best Sportsbook Offers & MLB Promos
FANDUEL: Dinger Tuesday
This is one of the most fun (and profitable) promos out there, and it's worth joining FanDuel for Dinger Tuesday alone. Opt in each Tuesday and place a $25+ wager on any MLB player to hit a home run and get a $5 bonus bet for each home run hit in that game (up to $25 max). The best part is that you can play this promo for every game on Tuesdays. Follow along here for our Dinger Tuesday picks every week, but here's a freebie:
Brad Pinkerton: Cardinals 1B Paul Goldschmidt to hit a HR (+320, FanDuel)
The Braves are trotting out lefty Dylan Dodd for his MLB debut, which is great news for this lefty-mashing Cardinals lineup, particularly Goldschmidt, who led MLB with an absurd .402 ISO against LHPs last season. At +320 on FanDuel, he's still a pretty good value (Nolan Arenado is down to just +285), and a great way to buy into the Braves-Cardinals game, which should feature plenty of homers to capitalize on FanDuel's Dinger Tuesday promo. Sign up for FanDuel below if you haven't already!
MLB Betting Trends For The Win
Not only does the BetQL model find the most valuable MLB bets every day, but it also finds some fantastic betting trends to help you make more informed bets. Whether that be a situational trend, an historical trend or a coaching trend, we have something for every game that shows why a team might be valuable that night.
Mets-Brewers: Buck Showalter is 47-19 SU when his team is off a loss while coaching New York.
Twins-Marlins: Rocco Baldelli is 18-25 SU when his team is off four or more consecutive wins while coaching Minnesota.
Cubs-Reds: David Ross is 45-76 SU when his team is off two or more consecutive losses while coaching Chicago.
Rays-Nationals: Dave Martinez is 18-48 SU as a home underdog of +125 to +175 while coaching Washington.
Phillies-Yankees: Aaron Boone is 70-40 SU at home with a moneyline of -100 to -150 while coaching New York.
Pirates-Red Sox: Alex Cora is 66-39 SU after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs while coaching Boston.
Braves-Cardinals: Oliver Marmol is 31-12 SU when the moneyline is -100 to -150 while coaching St. Louis.
Orioles-Rangers: Brandon Hyde is 39-113 vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season while coaching Baltimore.
Tigers-Astros: Dusty Baker is 57-19 SU after five or more consecutive home games while coaching Houston.
Guardians-Athletics: Terry Francona is 90-54 SU after a game where the bullpen blew a save while coaching Cleveland.
Diamondbacks-Padres: Bob Melvin is 50-23 SU vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse while coaching San Diego.
Angels-Mariners: Phil Nevin is 10-33 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better while coaching Los Angeles.
BetQL Trending Bets
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