Arizona Diamondbacks vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The Washington Nationals and Arizona Diamondbacks will lock horns in a crucial game today at Nationals Park, and the Arizona side appears to be on the path to victory. The Diamondbacks have been sensational on the road this season and are heavily favored to win over the struggling Nationals, who have been struggling at home. According to the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer, the Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time. The Nats cannot slip up anymore if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Arizona's Zach Davies is expected to have an impressive outing in today's matchup and has a higher chance of delivering a quality start than his Nationals’ counterpart, Patrick Corbin. Davies is predicted to have a 41% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Corbin has a 30% chance of quality. Should Davies fulfill this simulation, the Diamondbacks have an 83% chance of winning. He also has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio which can boost his teams winning chances by 65%. The Nats starter, Corbin, though lesser favored, boasts a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio, which gives him an excellent winning chance of 64%.
Keibert Ruiz and Corbin Carroll are expected to be the most productive batters for their respective teams in this game. Keibert Ruiz had an average hits+walks+RBI stat of 2.41 across all simulations with a likelihood of having a big game at 41%. If he performs well, the Nationals have a favorable chance of winning at 51%. However, Caroll outshines Ruiz with an average hits+walks+RBI stat of 2.63 and much better chances of having a big game at 47%, which increases his teams winning chance to 73%. If Carroll performs well, the Diamondbacks may have an easy task against the Nats today.
This matchup is expected to be an exciting one, and BetQL's model gives the Arizona Diamondbacks a far more superior chance of victory. Don't forget to subscribe to BetQL to see how the model picks up on this game and all the other games coming up!