Seattle Mariners vs

Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are 47-34 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 45-36 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays' starter Alek Manoah is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners' starter Luis Castillo. Alek Manoah has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Castillo has a 42% chance of a QS. If Alek Manoah has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 67%. In Luis Castillo quality starts the Mariners win 57%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Alejandro Kirk who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Eugenio Suarez who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 54% chance of winning.