Athletics vs

St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

The St. Louis Cardinals are 36-32 at home this season and the Athletics are 34-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics starter Luis Severino is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Luis Severino has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 43% chance of a QS. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Athletics has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 53%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 68%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Nick Kurtz who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 66% chance of winning.