Colorado Rockies vs

San Diego Padres Prediction

The San Diego Padres are 43-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 17-51 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Randy Vasquez is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Ben Brown. Randy Vasquez has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ben Brown has a 31% chance of a QS. If Randy Vasquez has a quality start the Padres has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 72%. In Ben Brown quality starts the Rockies win 61%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Hunter Goodman who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 47% chance of winning.