Washington Nationals vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-21 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 26-36 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Aaron Nola is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Mitchell Parker. Aaron Nola has a 26% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitchell Parker has a 10% chance of a QS. If Aaron Nola has a quality start the Phillies has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 74%. In Mitchell Parker quality starts the Nationals win 67%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Aaron Nola who averaged 3.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Mitchell Parker who averaged 3.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 40% chance of winning.