Arizona Diamondbacks vs

Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Minnesota Twins are 35-36 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 34-37 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Pablo Lopez is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt. Pablo Lopez has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Pfaadt has a 37% chance of a QS. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Twins has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 63%. In Brandon Pfaadt quality starts the Diamondbacks win 64%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 54% chance of winning.