San Francisco Giants vs

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers are 42-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 31-33 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than Giants starter Logan Webb. Freddy Peralta has a 34% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Logan Webb has a 27% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 62%. In Logan Webb quality starts the Giants win 65%. He has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Freddy Peralta who averaged 3.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Logan Webb who averaged 3.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 78% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 50% chance of winning.