Philadelphia Phillies vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 34-35 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 31-37 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Taijuan Walker is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Adam Mazur. Taijuan Walker has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adam Mazur has a 37% chance of a QS. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Phillies has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 64%. In Adam Mazur quality starts the Marlins win 72%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jakob Marsee who averaged 2.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 68% chance of winning.