New York Mets vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Max Scherzer is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara. Max Scherzer has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 54% chance of a QS. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Mets has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.4 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 53%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 67%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Luis Arraez who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 73% chance of winning.