Chicago Cubs vs

Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 5-3 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 2-2 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Julio Urias is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Drew Smyly. Julio Urias has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Drew Smyly has a 37% chance of a QS. If Julio Urias has a quality start the Dodgers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.2 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 68%. In Drew Smyly quality starts the Cubs win 56%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 52% chance of winning.