Minnesota Twins vsKansas City Royals Prediction
The Minnesota Twins are 30-41 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 34-41 at home. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins' starter Josh Winder is forecasted to have a better game than Royals' starter Jon Heasley. Josh Winder has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jon Heasley has a 34% chance of a QS. If Josh Winder has a quality start the Twins has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 62%. In Jon Heasley quality starts the Royals win 68%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is MJ Melendez who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Kyle Garlick who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 77% chance of winning.