Pittsburgh Pirates vs

Houston Astros Prediction

Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Spencer Arrighetti has a 51.00% chance of a QS and Paul Skenes a 49.00% chance. if (Spencer Arrighetti has a quality start the Astros has a 73.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 15.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 60.00%. if (Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 72.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 39.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 54.00%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 59.00% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 67.00% chance of winning.